EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Denmark › AGF vs AC Horsens
Danish SuperligaSun 8 Nov, 13:00 Denmark time

AGF vs AC Horsens prediction

Vejlby Stadion

AGFHome
2.10 : 1.58
expected goals
AC HorsensAway
49%AGF
22%Draw
29%AC Horsens
Eagle safe pickAGF or Draw
1.37

Quick answer

Our prediction for AGF vs AC Horsens is AGF to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is AGF or Draw at 1.37.

Prediction
AGF to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
AGF 2.1, AC Horsens 1.6
Best bet
AGF or Draw at 1.37
Both teams to score
70%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

AGF or Draw
73% chanceFair price 1.371 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

AGF to win and Over 2.5
38% chanceFair price 2.601 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives AGF 49%, the draw 22% and AC Horsens 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    AGF took 8 points from their last 5 games and AC Horsens took 6 from 5. AGF come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    AGF won 4 of their last 10 games at home. AC Horsens won 2 of their last 5 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    AGF score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.4. AC Horsens score 1.9 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of AGF games and 8 of AC Horsens games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, AGF won 0 and AC Horsens won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended AC Horsens 2, AGF 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    AGF or Draw has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • AC Horsensrecent form-1%
AGF form D D D L WAC Horsens form D D D D LHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

AGF vs AC Horsens: AGF are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

AGF host AC Horsens in the Danish Superliga on Sun 8 Nov, 13:00 at Vejlby Stadion. Our prediction for AGF vs AC Horsens is AGF to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is AGF or Draw at 1.37.

AGF form

AGF have 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, W, newest first.

AC Horsens form

AC Horsens have 4 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 12 games, with 23 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. AGF won 0, AC Horsens won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished AC Horsens 2, AGF 2.

Our call

We expect AGF to score about 2.1 goals and AC Horsens about 1.6. That points to AGF to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is AGF or Draw at 1.37. Our bold bet is AGF to win and Over 2.5 at 2.60.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AGFAC Horsens
Games played2012
Wins54
Draws94
Losses64
Goals scored3023
Goals conceded2720
Scored per game1.51.9
Conceded per game1.41.7
Home record4W 5D 1L2W 3D 2L
Away record1W 4D 5L2W 1D 2L
Clean sheets15%8%
Both teams scored70%75%
Over 2.5 goals55%67%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals89%1.13
Over 2.5 goals71%1.40
Over 3.5 goals50%1.99
Both teams to score70%1.42
AGF or Draw71%1.40
AC Horsens or Draw51%1.98
AGF to win and Over 2.539%2.56
AC Horsens to win and Over 2.522%4.55
AGF clean sheet21%4.85
AC Horsens clean sheet12%8.21

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-18.9%
2-18.8%
2-26.9%
1-26.6%
3-16.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win AGF vs AC Horsens?

Our prediction for AGF vs AC Horsens is AGF to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is AGF or Draw at 1.37.

What is the score prediction for AGF vs AC Horsens?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-2. We expect AGF to score 2.1 goals and AC Horsens 1.6.

Will both teams score in AGF vs AC Horsens?

Both teams to score has a 70% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of AGF last 20 games and 9 of AC Horsens last 12.

How are AGF playing?

AGF have 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, W, newest first.

How are AC Horsens playing?

AC Horsens have 4 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 12 games, with 23 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, L, newest first.

What happened when AGF and AC Horsens last met?

It ended AC Horsens 2, AGF 2. In the last 1 meeting AGF won 0 and AC Horsens won 0.

What is the best bet for AGF vs AC Horsens?

AGF or Draw at 1.37, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in AGF against AC Horsens. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.