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Predictions › Denmark › AGF vs Viborg FF
Danish SuperligaSun 25 Oct, 17:00 Denmark time

AGF vs Viborg FF prediction

Vejlby Stadion

AGFHome
1.58 : 1.28
expected goals
Viborg FFAway
44%AGF
26%Draw
30%Viborg
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for AGF vs Viborg FF is AGF to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
AGF to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
AGF 1.6, Viborg FF 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

AGF to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.811 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives AGF 44%, the draw 26% and Viborg FF 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    AGF took 5 points from their last 5 games and Viborg FF took 10 from 5. Viborg FF come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    AGF won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Viborg FF won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    AGF score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.3. Viborg FF score 1.4 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of AGF games and 8 of Viborg FF games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, AGF won 4 and Viborg FF won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Viborg FF 2, AGF 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • AGFrecent form-1%
  • Viborgrecent form+1%
  • AGFrest between games-5%
AGF form L W D L DViborg form D W D L WHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

AGF vs Viborg FF: AGF shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

AGF host Viborg FF in the Danish Superliga on Sun 25 Oct, 17:00 at Vejlby Stadion. Our prediction for AGF vs Viborg FF is AGF to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

AGF form

AGF have 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, D, newest first.

Viborg FF form

Viborg FF have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. AGF won 4, Viborg FF won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Viborg FF 2, AGF 1.

Our call

We expect AGF to score about 1.6 goals and Viborg FF about 1.3. That points to AGF to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is AGF to win and Over 2.5 at 3.81.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AGFViborg
Games played2020
Wins59
Draws94
Losses67
Goals scored2929
Goals conceded2624
Scored per game1.41.4
Conceded per game1.31.2
Home record3W 6D 1L5W 1D 4L
Away record2W 3D 5L4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets20%35%
Both teams scored65%45%
Over 2.5 goals55%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.27
Over 2.5 goals54%1.84
Over 3.5 goals32%3.11
Both teams to score58%1.72
AGF or Draw70%1.44
Viborg FF or Draw56%1.77
AGF to win and Over 2.528%3.56
Viborg FF to win and Over 2.519%5.26
AGF clean sheet28%3.61
Viborg FF clean sheet21%4.84

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.3%
2-19.1%
1-08.3%
1-27.4%
2-07.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win AGF vs Viborg FF?

Our prediction for AGF vs Viborg FF is AGF to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for AGF vs Viborg FF?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect AGF to score 1.6 goals and Viborg FF 1.3.

Will both teams score in AGF vs Viborg FF?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of AGF last 20 games and 9 of Viborg FF last 20.

How are AGF playing?

AGF have 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, D, newest first.

How are Viborg FF playing?

Viborg FF have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

What happened when AGF and Viborg FF last met?

It ended Viborg FF 2, AGF 1. In the last 5 meetings AGF won 4 and Viborg FF won 1.

What is the best bet for AGF vs Viborg FF?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in AGF against Viborg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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