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Predictions › Colombia › Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira
Colombian Primera AFri 18 Sept, 21:00 Colombia time

Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira prediction

Estadio Cincuentenario

Águilas DoradasHome
1.43 : 0.79
expected goals
Deportivo PereiraAway
52%Águilas Doradas
28%Draw
20%Pereira
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira is Águilas Doradas to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Águilas Doradas to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Águilas Doradas 1.4, Deportivo Pereira 0.8
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
42%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
15% chanceFair price 6.781 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Águilas Doradas 52%, the draw 28% and Deportivo Pereira 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Águilas Doradas took 7 points from their last 5 games and Deportivo Pereira took 6 from 5. Águilas Doradas come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Águilas Doradas won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Deportivo Pereira won 1 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Águilas Doradas score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.3. Deportivo Pereira score 0.7 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Águilas Doradas games and 8 of Deportivo Pereira games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Águilas Doradas won 2 and Deportivo Pereira won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Deportivo Pereira 0, Águilas Doradas 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Águilas Doradasrecent form+1%
  • Pereirarecent form-1%
Águilas Doradas form D D D D WPereira form L D L W DHome edge in this league 40% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira: Águilas Doradas are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Águilas Doradas host Deportivo Pereira in the Colombian Primera A on Fri 18 Sept, 21:00 at Estadio Cincuentenario. Our prediction for Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira is Águilas Doradas to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Águilas Doradas form

Águilas Doradas have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, D, W, newest first.

Deportivo Pereira form

Deportivo Pereira have 2 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Águilas Doradas won 2, Deportivo Pereira won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Deportivo Pereira 0, Águilas Doradas 1.

Our call

We expect Águilas Doradas to score about 1.4 goals and Deportivo Pereira about 0.8. That points to Águilas Doradas to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 6.78.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Águilas DoradasPereira
Games played2020
Wins72
Draws78
Losses610
Goals scored2214
Goals conceded2630
Scored per game1.10.7
Conceded per game1.31.5
Home record3W 5D 3L1W 4D 3L
Away record4W 2D 3L1W 4D 7L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored60%40%
Over 2.5 goals50%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals66%1.52
Over 2.5 goals38%2.60
Over 3.5 goals19%5.38
Both teams to score42%2.36
Águilas Doradas or Draw80%1.25
Deportivo Pereira or Draw48%2.06
Águilas Doradas to win and Over 2.526%3.89
Deportivo Pereira to win and Over 2.59%11.39
Águilas Doradas clean sheet45%2.21
Deportivo Pereira clean sheet24%4.20

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.7%
1-113.0%
0-011.5%
2-011.1%
2-18.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira?

Our prediction for Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira is Águilas Doradas to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Águilas Doradas to score 1.4 goals and Deportivo Pereira 0.8.

Will both teams score in Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira?

Both teams to score has a 42% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Águilas Doradas last 20 games and 8 of Deportivo Pereira last 20.

How are Águilas Doradas playing?

Águilas Doradas have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, D, W, newest first.

How are Deportivo Pereira playing?

Deportivo Pereira have 2 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Águilas Doradas and Deportivo Pereira last met?

It ended Deportivo Pereira 0, Águilas Doradas 1. In the last 2 meetings Águilas Doradas won 2 and Deportivo Pereira won 0.

What is the best bet for Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.18, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Águilas Doradas against Pereira. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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