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Predictions › Colombia › Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera AMon 2 Nov, 21:05 Colombia time

Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza CEIF prediction

Estadio Cincuentenario

Águilas DoradasHome
1.61 : 1.03
expected goals
Fortaleza CEIFAway
50%Águilas Doradas
26%Draw
24%Fortaleza
Eagle safe pickÁguilas Doradas or Draw
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza CEIF is Águilas Doradas to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Águilas Doradas or Draw at 1.30.

Prediction
Águilas Doradas to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Águilas Doradas 1.6, Fortaleza CEIF 1.0
Best bet
Águilas Doradas or Draw at 1.30
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Águilas Doradas or Draw
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Águilas Doradas to win and Over 2.5
29% chanceFair price 3.441 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Águilas Doradas 50%, the draw 26% and Fortaleza CEIF 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Águilas Doradas took 8 points from their last 5 games and Fortaleza CEIF took 3 from 5. Águilas Doradas come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Águilas Doradas won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Fortaleza CEIF won 0 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Águilas Doradas score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.6. Fortaleza CEIF score 1.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Águilas Doradas games and 11 of Fortaleza CEIF games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Águilas Doradas won 0 and Fortaleza CEIF won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Fortaleza CEIF 2, Águilas Doradas 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Águilas Doradas or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Fortalezarecent form-1%
Águilas Doradas form D D D W LFortaleza form D L D D DHome edge in this league 38% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza CEIF: Águilas Doradas are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Águilas Doradas host Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombian Primera A on Mon 2 Nov, 21:05 at Estadio Cincuentenario. Our prediction for Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza CEIF is Águilas Doradas to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Águilas Doradas or Draw at 1.30.

Águilas Doradas form

Águilas Doradas have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, L, newest first.

Fortaleza CEIF form

Fortaleza CEIF have 3 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Águilas Doradas won 0, Fortaleza CEIF won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Fortaleza CEIF 2, Águilas Doradas 0.

Our call

We expect Águilas Doradas to score about 1.6 goals and Fortaleza CEIF about 1.0. That points to Águilas Doradas to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Águilas Doradas or Draw at 1.30. Our bold bet is Águilas Doradas to win and Over 2.5 at 3.44.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Águilas DoradasFortaleza
Games played2020
Wins63
Draws810
Losses67
Goals scored2623
Goals conceded3228
Scored per game1.31.1
Conceded per game1.61.4
Home record4W 5D 1L3W 4D 4L
Away record2W 3D 5L0W 6D 3L
Clean sheets5%25%
Both teams scored70%70%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%2.03
Over 3.5 goals27%3.64
Both teams to score52%1.91
Águilas Doradas or Draw76%1.31
Fortaleza CEIF or Draw50%2.01
Águilas Doradas to win and Over 2.530%3.31
Fortaleza CEIF to win and Over 2.513%7.60
Águilas Doradas clean sheet36%2.81
Fortaleza CEIF clean sheet20%5.03

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.5%
1-010.7%
2-19.5%
2-09.2%
0-07.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Our prediction for Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza CEIF is Águilas Doradas to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Águilas Doradas or Draw at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza CEIF?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Águilas Doradas to score 1.6 goals and Fortaleza CEIF 1.0.

Will both teams score in Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Águilas Doradas last 20 games and 14 of Fortaleza CEIF last 20.

How are Águilas Doradas playing?

Águilas Doradas have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, L, newest first.

How are Fortaleza CEIF playing?

Fortaleza CEIF have 3 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Águilas Doradas and Fortaleza CEIF last met?

It ended Fortaleza CEIF 2, Águilas Doradas 0. In the last 1 meeting Águilas Doradas won 0 and Fortaleza CEIF won 1.

What is the best bet for Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Águilas Doradas or Draw at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Águilas Doradas against Fortaleza. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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