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Predictions › Colombia › Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares de Córdoba
Colombian Primera ASat 3 Oct, 19:00 Colombia time

Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares de Córdoba prediction

Estadio Cincuentenario

Águilas DoradasHome
1.74 : 1.07
expected goals
Jaguares de CórdobaAway
53%Águilas Doradas
25%Draw
22%Jaguares
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares de Córdoba is Águilas Doradas to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Águilas Doradas to win
Chance
53%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Águilas Doradas 1.7, Jaguares de Córdoba 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Águilas Doradas to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 3.151 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Águilas Doradas 53%, the draw 25% and Jaguares de Córdoba 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Águilas Doradas took 2 points from their last 5 games and Jaguares de Córdoba took 3 from 5. Jaguares de Córdoba come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Águilas Doradas won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Jaguares de Córdoba won 0 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Águilas Doradas score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.5. Jaguares de Córdoba score 1.1 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Águilas Doradas games and 11 of Jaguares de Córdoba games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Águilas Doradas won 0 and Jaguares de Córdoba won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Jaguares de Córdoba 1, Águilas Doradas 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Águilas Doradasrecent form-4%
  • Jaguaresrecent form-3%
  • Águilas Doradasrest between games-5%
  • Jaguaresrest between games-5%
Águilas Doradas form L L D L DJaguares form L L D D DHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares de Córdoba: Águilas Doradas are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Águilas Doradas host Jaguares de Córdoba in the Colombian Primera A on Sat 3 Oct, 19:00 at Estadio Cincuentenario. Our prediction for Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares de Córdoba is Águilas Doradas to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Águilas Doradas form

Águilas Doradas have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, D, newest first.

Jaguares de Córdoba form

Jaguares de Córdoba have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Águilas Doradas won 0, Jaguares de Córdoba won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Jaguares de Córdoba 1, Águilas Doradas 1.

Our call

We expect Águilas Doradas to score about 1.7 goals and Jaguares de Córdoba about 1.1. That points to Águilas Doradas to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Águilas Doradas to win and Over 2.5 at 3.15.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Águilas DoradasJaguares
Games played2020
Wins63
Draws76
Losses711
Goals scored2222
Goals conceded3034
Scored per game1.11.1
Conceded per game1.51.7
Home record3W 5D 2L3W 4D 4L
Away record3W 2D 5L0W 2D 7L
Clean sheets10%15%
Both teams scored60%60%
Over 2.5 goals50%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.88
Over 3.5 goals31%3.22
Both teams to score55%1.83
Águilas Doradas or Draw78%1.29
Jaguares de Córdoba or Draw47%2.11
Águilas Doradas to win and Over 2.534%2.98
Jaguares de Córdoba to win and Over 2.513%7.51
Águilas Doradas clean sheet34%2.91
Jaguares de Córdoba clean sheet17%5.71

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.9%
1-09.8%
2-19.8%
2-09.1%
0-06.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares de Córdoba?

Our prediction for Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares de Córdoba is Águilas Doradas to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares de Córdoba?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Águilas Doradas to score 1.7 goals and Jaguares de Córdoba 1.1.

Will both teams score in Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares de Córdoba?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Águilas Doradas last 20 games and 12 of Jaguares de Córdoba last 20.

How are Águilas Doradas playing?

Águilas Doradas have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, D, newest first.

How are Jaguares de Córdoba playing?

Jaguares de Córdoba have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Águilas Doradas and Jaguares de Córdoba last met?

It ended Jaguares de Córdoba 1, Águilas Doradas 1. In the last 1 meeting Águilas Doradas won 0 and Jaguares de Córdoba won 0.

What is the best bet for Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares de Córdoba?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Águilas Doradas against Jaguares. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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