Predictions › Sweden › AIK vs BK Häcken
AllsvenskanSun 8 Nov, 15:30 Sweden time

AIK vs BK Häcken prediction

Friends Arena

AIKHome
1.03 : 2.44
expected goals
BK HäckenAway
14%AIK
18%Draw
68%BK Häcken
Eagle safe pickBK Häcken draw no bet
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for AIK vs BK Häcken is BK Häcken to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is BK Häcken draw no bet at 1.20.

Prediction
BK Häcken to win
Chance
68%
Most likely score
1-2
Expected goals
AIK 1.0, BK Häcken 2.4
Best bet
BK Häcken draw no bet at 1.20
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

BK Häcken draw no bet
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

BK Häcken to win and both score
35% chanceFair price 2.861 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives AIK 14%, the draw 18% and BK Häcken 68%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    AIK took 5 points from their last 5 games and BK Häcken took 13 from 5. BK Häcken come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    AIK won 2 of their last 10 games at home. BK Häcken won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    AIK score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.9. BK Häcken score 1.8 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of AIK games and 10 of BK Häcken games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, AIK won 0 and BK Häcken won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended BK Häcken 0, AIK 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    BK Häcken draw no bet has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • AIKrecent form-1%
  • BK Häckenrecent form+6%
  • AIKrest between games-5%
  • BK Häckenrest between games-5%
AIK form D W D L LBK Häcken form D W W W WHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

AIK vs BK Häcken: BK Häcken are favourites

The big picture

AIK host BK Häcken in the Allsvenskan on Sun 8 Nov, 15:30 at Friends Arena. Our prediction for AIK vs BK Häcken is BK Häcken to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is BK Häcken draw no bet at 1.20.

AIK form

AIK have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, L, newest first.

BK Häcken form

BK Häcken have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. AIK won 0, BK Häcken won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished BK Häcken 0, AIK 0.

Our call

We expect AIK to score about 1.0 goals and BK Häcken about 2.4. That points to BK Häcken to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is BK Häcken draw no bet at 1.20. Our bold bet is BK Häcken to win and both score at 2.86.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AIKBK Häcken
Games played2020
Wins810
Draws66
Losses64
Goals scored3535
Goals conceded3821
Scored per game1.81.8
Conceded per game1.91.1
Home record2W 3D 5L5W 3D 2L
Away record6W 3D 1L5W 3D 2L
Clean sheets15%55%
Both teams scored75%40%
Over 2.5 goals75%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.16
Over 2.5 goals67%1.49
Over 3.5 goals46%2.19
Both teams to score59%1.69
AIK or Draw32%3.10
BK Häcken or Draw86%1.16
AIK to win and Over 2.59%10.66
BK Häcken to win and Over 2.551%1.95
AIK clean sheet9%11.43
BK Häcken clean sheet36%2.81

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-29.5%
0-29.3%
1-18.3%
1-37.8%
0-37.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win AIK vs BK Häcken?

Our prediction for AIK vs BK Häcken is BK Häcken to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is BK Häcken draw no bet at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for AIK vs BK Häcken?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 0-2 and 1-1. We expect AIK to score 1.0 goals and BK Häcken 2.4.

Will both teams score in AIK vs BK Häcken?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of AIK last 20 games and 8 of BK Häcken last 20.

How are AIK playing?

AIK have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, L, newest first.

How are BK Häcken playing?

BK Häcken have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when AIK and BK Häcken last met?

It ended BK Häcken 0, AIK 0. In the last 2 meetings AIK won 0 and BK Häcken won 0.

What is the best bet for AIK vs BK Häcken?

BK Häcken draw no bet at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in AIK against BK Häcken. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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