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Predictions › Sweden › AIK vs Degerfors IF
AllsvenskanSat 21 Nov, 14:00 Sweden time

AIK vs Degerfors IF prediction

Friends Arena

AIKHome
2.26 : 1.29
expected goals
Degerfors IFAway
59%AIK
21%Draw
20%Degerfors
Eagle safe pickAIK or Draw
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for AIK vs Degerfors IF is AIK to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is AIK or Draw at 1.26.

Prediction
AIK to win
Chance
59%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
AIK 2.3, Degerfors IF 1.3
Best bet
AIK or Draw at 1.26
Both teams to score
65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

AIK or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

AIK to win and Over 2.5
43% chanceFair price 2.321 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives AIK 59%, the draw 21% and Degerfors IF 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    AIK took 8 points from their last 5 games and Degerfors IF took 0 from 5. AIK come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    AIK won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Degerfors IF won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    AIK score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.9. Degerfors IF score 0.7 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of AIK games and 10 of Degerfors IF games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, AIK won 0 and Degerfors IF won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Degerfors IF 2, AIK 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    AIK or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • AIKrecent form+1%
  • Degerforsrecent form-7%
AIK form W L D W DDegerfors form L L L L LHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

AIK vs Degerfors IF: AIK are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

AIK host Degerfors IF in the Allsvenskan on Sat 21 Nov, 14:00 at Friends Arena. Our prediction for AIK vs Degerfors IF is AIK to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is AIK or Draw at 1.26.

AIK form

AIK have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, D, newest first.

Degerfors IF form

Degerfors IF have 3 wins, 2 draws and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. AIK won 0, Degerfors IF won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Degerfors IF 2, AIK 1.

Our call

We expect AIK to score about 2.3 goals and Degerfors IF about 1.3. That points to AIK to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is AIK or Draw at 1.26. Our bold bet is AIK to win and Over 2.5 at 2.32.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AIKDegerfors
Games played2020
Wins93
Draws52
Losses615
Goals scored3614
Goals conceded3736
Scored per game1.80.7
Conceded per game1.91.8
Home record3W 3D 4L2W 1D 6L
Away record6W 2D 2L1W 1D 9L
Clean sheets15%10%
Both teams scored75%35%
Over 2.5 goals80%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.14
Over 2.5 goals69%1.45
Over 3.5 goals47%2.11
Both teams to score65%1.53
AIK or Draw80%1.26
Degerfors IF or Draw41%2.43
AIK to win and Over 2.545%2.20
Degerfors IF to win and Over 2.515%6.73
AIK clean sheet28%3.63
Degerfors IF clean sheet10%9.58

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.5%
1-18.9%
2-07.4%
3-17.1%
2-26.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win AIK vs Degerfors IF?

Our prediction for AIK vs Degerfors IF is AIK to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is AIK or Draw at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for AIK vs Degerfors IF?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect AIK to score 2.3 goals and Degerfors IF 1.3.

Will both teams score in AIK vs Degerfors IF?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of AIK last 20 games and 7 of Degerfors IF last 20.

How are AIK playing?

AIK have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, D, newest first.

How are Degerfors IF playing?

Degerfors IF have 3 wins, 2 draws and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when AIK and Degerfors IF last met?

It ended Degerfors IF 2, AIK 1. In the last 1 meeting AIK won 0 and Degerfors IF won 1.

What is the best bet for AIK vs Degerfors IF?

AIK or Draw at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in AIK against Degerfors. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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