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Predictions › Sweden › AIK vs IF Brommapojkarna
AllsvenskanSat 10 Oct, 13:00 Sweden time

AIK vs IF Brommapojkarna prediction

Friends Arena

AIKHome
1.61 : 1.67
expected goals
IF BrommapojkarnaAway
37%AIK
24%Draw
39%Brommapojkar
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for AIK vs IF Brommapojkarna is IF Brommapojkarna to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
IF Brommapojkarna to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
AIK 1.6, IF Brommapojkarna 1.7
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

IF Brommapojkarna to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.661 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives AIK 37%, the draw 24% and IF Brommapojkarna 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    AIK took 5 points from their last 5 games and IF Brommapojkarna took 6 from 5. IF Brommapojkarna come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    AIK won 3 of their last 9 games at home. IF Brommapojkarna won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    AIK score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.6. IF Brommapojkarna score 1.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of AIK games and 14 of IF Brommapojkarna games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, AIK won 1 and IF Brommapojkarna won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended IF Brommapojkarna 2, AIK 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • AIKrecent form-1%
  • Brommapojkarrecent form-1%
AIK form L D L D WBrommapojkar form L L W L WHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

AIK vs IF Brommapojkarna: IF Brommapojkarna shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

AIK host IF Brommapojkarna in the Allsvenskan on Sat 10 Oct, 13:00 at Friends Arena. Our prediction for AIK vs IF Brommapojkarna is IF Brommapojkarna to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

AIK form

AIK have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, W, newest first.

IF Brommapojkarna form

IF Brommapojkarna have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. AIK won 1, IF Brommapojkarna won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished IF Brommapojkarna 2, AIK 2.

Our call

We expect AIK to score about 1.6 goals and IF Brommapojkarna about 1.7. That points to IF Brommapojkarna to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is IF Brommapojkarna to win and Over 2.5 at 3.66.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AIKBrommapojkar
Games played2020
Wins87
Draws54
Losses79
Goals scored2726
Goals conceded3132
Scored per game1.41.3
Conceded per game1.61.6
Home record3W 1D 5L4W 2D 4L
Away record5W 4D 2L3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets20%10%
Both teams scored65%70%
Over 2.5 goals60%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1.18
Over 2.5 goals64%1.57
Over 3.5 goals42%2.41
Both teams to score66%1.53
AIK or Draw61%1.64
IF Brommapojkarna or Draw63%1.58
AIK to win and Over 2.526%3.81
IF Brommapojkarna to win and Over 2.528%3.55
AIK clean sheet19%5.31
IF Brommapojkarna clean sheet20%5.01

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.7%
1-28.4%
2-18.1%
2-26.8%
0-15.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win AIK vs IF Brommapojkarna?

Our prediction for AIK vs IF Brommapojkarna is IF Brommapojkarna to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for AIK vs IF Brommapojkarna?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect AIK to score 1.6 goals and IF Brommapojkarna 1.7.

Will both teams score in AIK vs IF Brommapojkarna?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of AIK last 20 games and 14 of IF Brommapojkarna last 20.

How are AIK playing?

AIK have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, W, newest first.

How are IF Brommapojkarna playing?

IF Brommapojkarna have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when AIK and IF Brommapojkarna last met?

It ended IF Brommapojkarna 2, AIK 2. In the last 2 meetings AIK won 1 and IF Brommapojkarna won 0.

What is the best bet for AIK vs IF Brommapojkarna?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in AIK against Brommapojkar. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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