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Predictions › Sweden › AIK vs IFK Göteborg
AllsvenskanSat 17 Oct, 15:30 Sweden time

AIK vs IFK Göteborg prediction

Friends Arena

AIKHome
1.62 : 2.06
expected goals
IFK GöteborgAway
30%AIK
22%Draw
48%Göteborg
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
1.35

Quick answer

Our prediction for AIK vs IFK Göteborg is IFK Göteborg to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.35.

Prediction
IFK Göteborg to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
AIK 1.6, IFK Göteborg 2.1
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at 1.35
Both teams to score
71%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
74% chanceFair price 1.351 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

IFK Göteborg to win and Over 2.5
36% chanceFair price 2.801 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives AIK 30%, the draw 22% and IFK Göteborg 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    AIK took 5 points from their last 5 games and IFK Göteborg took 13 from 5. IFK Göteborg come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    AIK won 3 of their last 9 games at home. IFK Göteborg won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    AIK score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.6. IFK Göteborg score 1.6 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of AIK games and 12 of IFK Göteborg games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, AIK won 1 and IFK Göteborg won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended IFK Göteborg 1, AIK 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • AIKrecent form-1%
  • Göteborgrecent form+6%
AIK form L D L D WGöteborg form W W W W DHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

AIK vs IFK Göteborg: IFK Göteborg are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

AIK host IFK Göteborg in the Allsvenskan on Sat 17 Oct, 15:30 at Friends Arena. Our prediction for AIK vs IFK Göteborg is IFK Göteborg to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.35.

AIK form

AIK have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, W, newest first.

IFK Göteborg form

IFK Göteborg have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. AIK won 1, IFK Göteborg won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished IFK Göteborg 1, AIK 2.

Our call

We expect AIK to score about 1.6 goals and IFK Göteborg about 2.1. That points to IFK Göteborg to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.35. Our bold bet is IFK Göteborg to win and Over 2.5 at 2.80.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AIKGöteborg
Games played2020
Wins89
Draws55
Losses76
Goals scored2731
Goals conceded3137
Scored per game1.41.6
Conceded per game1.61.9
Home record3W 1D 5L5W 3D 2L
Away record5W 4D 2L4W 2D 4L
Clean sheets20%15%
Both teams scored65%65%
Over 2.5 goals60%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals89%1.13
Over 2.5 goals71%1.40
Over 3.5 goals50%1.99
Both teams to score71%1.42
AIK or Draw52%1.91
IFK Göteborg or Draw70%1.43
AIK to win and Over 2.523%4.30
IFK Göteborg to win and Over 2.538%2.65
AIK clean sheet13%7.89
IFK Göteborg clean sheet20%5.06

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-18.9%
1-28.7%
2-27.0%
2-16.8%
1-36.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win AIK vs IFK Göteborg?

Our prediction for AIK vs IFK Göteborg is IFK Göteborg to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.35.

What is the score prediction for AIK vs IFK Göteborg?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-2. We expect AIK to score 1.6 goals and IFK Göteborg 2.1.

Will both teams score in AIK vs IFK Göteborg?

Both teams to score has a 71% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of AIK last 20 games and 13 of IFK Göteborg last 20.

How are AIK playing?

AIK have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, W, newest first.

How are IFK Göteborg playing?

IFK Göteborg have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when AIK and IFK Göteborg last met?

It ended IFK Göteborg 1, AIK 2. In the last 1 meeting AIK won 1 and IFK Göteborg won 0.

What is the best bet for AIK vs IFK Göteborg?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.35, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in AIK against Göteborg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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