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Predictions › United States › Air Force Falcons vs Northern Illinois Huskies
College FootballSat 10 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Air Force Falcons vs Northern Illinois Huskies prediction

Huskie Stadium

Air Force FalconsAway
28.2 : 27.4
projected points
Northern Illinois HuskiesHome
55%Air Force
45%N Illinois
Eagle safe pickAir Force +9.5
-295

Quick answer

Our prediction for Air Force Falcons vs Northern Illinois Huskies is Air Force Falcons to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Air Force Falcons 28.2 and Northern Illinois Huskies 27.4. Our best bet is Air Force +9.5 at -295.

Prediction
Air Force Falcons to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
Air Force Falcons 28, Northern Illinois Huskies 27
Projected total
55.6 points
Best bet
Air Force +9.5 at -295

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Air Force +9.5
75% chanceFair price -2951 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Northern Illinois Huskies 45% and Air Force Falcons 55%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Northern Illinois Huskies won 0 of their last 5 and Air Force Falcons won 3 of their last 5. Air Force Falcons come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Northern Illinois Huskies won 1 of their last 6 games at home. Air Force Falcons won 3 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Northern Illinois Huskies score 16.6 points a game and let in 28.6. Air Force Falcons score 29.4 and let in 30.1. Their recent games average 45.1 and 59.5 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Air Force +9.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Air Force Falcons vs Northern Illinois Huskies: Air Force Falcons shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Northern Illinois Huskies host Air Force Falcons in the College Football on Sat 10 Oct, 19:30 at Huskie Stadium. Our prediction for Air Force Falcons vs Northern Illinois Huskies is Air Force Falcons to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Air Force Falcons 28.2 and Northern Illinois Huskies 27.4. Our best bet is Air Force +9.5 at -295.

Northern Illinois Huskies form

Northern Illinois Huskies have 2 wins and 12 losses in their last 14 games, with 232 points scored and 400 conceded. At home they have 1 win and 5 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Air Force Falcons form

Air Force Falcons have 5 wins and 9 losses in their last 14 games, with 411 points scored and 422 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Air Force Falcons to score about 28.2 points and Northern Illinois Huskies about 27.4. That points to Air Force Falcons to win. Our safest bet is Air Force +9.5 at -295.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 14 games in all competitions.

N IllinoisAir Force
Games played1414
Wins25
Losses129
Points scored232411
Points conceded400422
Scored per game16.629.4
Conceded per game28.630.1
Home record1W 5L2W 5L
Away record1W 7L3W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

N Illinois spreadCoversFair
N Illinois -6.533%+207
N Illinois -2.542%+138
N Illinois +0.549%+102
N Illinois +3.557%-132
N Illinois +7.566%-197
Total pointsOverUnder
48.567%33%
52.558%42%
55.550%50%
58.543%57%
62.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. N Illinois +3.5 wins if N Illinois win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Air Force Falcons vs Northern Illinois Huskies?

Our prediction for Air Force Falcons vs Northern Illinois Huskies is Air Force Falcons to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Air Force Falcons 28.2 and Northern Illinois Huskies 27.4. Our best bet is Air Force +9.5 at -295.

What is the projected score for Air Force Falcons vs Northern Illinois Huskies?

We project Air Force Falcons 28.2 and Northern Illinois Huskies 27.4, about 55.6 points in total.

How are Northern Illinois Huskies playing?

Northern Illinois Huskies have 2 wins and 12 losses in their last 14 games, with 232 points scored and 400 conceded. At home they have 1 win and 5 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Air Force Falcons playing?

Air Force Falcons have 5 wins and 9 losses in their last 14 games, with 411 points scored and 422 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Air Force Falcons vs Northern Illinois Huskies?

Air Force +9.5 at -295, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in N Illinois against Air Force. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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