Predictions › United States › Air Force Falcons vs Wyoming Cowboys
College FootballFri 23 Oct, 21:00 United States time

Air Force Falcons vs Wyoming Cowboys prediction

War Memorial Stadium

Air Force FalconsAway
23.3 : 24.6
projected points
Wyoming CowboysHome
50%Air Force
51%Wyoming
Eagle safe pickOver 37.5 points
-297

Quick answer

Our prediction for Air Force Falcons vs Wyoming Cowboys is Wyoming Cowboys to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Air Force Falcons 23.3 and Wyoming Cowboys 24.6. Our best bet is Over 37.5 points at -297.

Prediction
Wyoming Cowboys to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
Air Force Falcons 23, Wyoming Cowboys 25
Projected total
47.9 points
Best bet
Over 37.5 points at -297

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 37.5 points
75% chanceFair price -2971 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Wyoming Cowboys 51% and Air Force Falcons 50%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Wyoming Cowboys won 3 of their last 5 and Air Force Falcons won 4 of their last 5. Air Force Falcons come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Wyoming Cowboys won 4 of their last 7 games at home. Air Force Falcons won 4 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Wyoming Cowboys score 14.9 points a game and let in 22.6. Air Force Falcons score 28.3 and let in 27.4. Their recent games average 37.5 and 55.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Wyoming Cowboys won 0 and Air Force Falcons won 1. The last one ended Air Force Falcons 24, Wyoming Cowboys 21.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 37.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Air Force Falcons vs Wyoming Cowboys: Wyoming Cowboys shade it

The big picture

Wyoming Cowboys host Air Force Falcons in the College Football on Fri 23 Oct, 21:00 at War Memorial Stadium. Our prediction for Air Force Falcons vs Wyoming Cowboys is Wyoming Cowboys to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Air Force Falcons 23.3 and Wyoming Cowboys 24.6. Our best bet is Over 37.5 points at -297.

Wyoming Cowboys form

Wyoming Cowboys have 5 wins and 11 losses in their last 16 games, with 238 points scored and 362 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Air Force Falcons form

Air Force Falcons have 7 wins and 9 losses in their last 16 games, with 453 points scored and 438 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Wyoming Cowboys won 0, Air Force Falcons won 1. Last time out it finished Air Force Falcons 24, Wyoming Cowboys 21.

Our call

We expect Air Force Falcons to score about 23.3 points and Wyoming Cowboys about 24.6. That points to Wyoming Cowboys to win. Our safest bet is Over 37.5 points at -297.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

WyomingAir Force
Games played1616
Wins57
Losses119
Points scored238453
Points conceded362438
Scored per game14.928.3
Conceded per game22.627.4
Home record4W 3L3W 5L
Away record1W 8L4W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Wyoming spreadCoversFair
Wyoming -8.532%+208
Wyoming -4.542%+139
Wyoming -1.549%+103
Wyoming +1.557%-131
Wyoming +5.566%-196
Total pointsOverUnder
40.568%32%
44.558%42%
47.551%49%
50.544%56%
54.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Wyoming +3.5 wins if Wyoming win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Air Force Falcons vs Wyoming Cowboys?

Our prediction for Air Force Falcons vs Wyoming Cowboys is Wyoming Cowboys to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Air Force Falcons 23.3 and Wyoming Cowboys 24.6. Our best bet is Over 37.5 points at -297.

What is the projected score for Air Force Falcons vs Wyoming Cowboys?

We project Air Force Falcons 23.3 and Wyoming Cowboys 24.6, about 47.9 points in total.

How are Wyoming Cowboys playing?

Wyoming Cowboys have 5 wins and 11 losses in their last 16 games, with 238 points scored and 362 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Air Force Falcons playing?

Air Force Falcons have 7 wins and 9 losses in their last 16 games, with 453 points scored and 438 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Wyoming Cowboys and Air Force Falcons last met?

It ended Air Force Falcons 24, Wyoming Cowboys 21. In the last 1 meeting Wyoming Cowboys won 0 and Air Force Falcons won 1.

What is the best bet for Air Force Falcons vs Wyoming Cowboys?

Over 37.5 points at -297, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wyoming against Air Force. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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