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Predictions › United States › Akron Zips vs Massachusetts Minutemen
College FootballWed 18 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Akron Zips vs Massachusetts Minutemen prediction

Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium

Akron ZipsAway
20.8 : 29.3
projected points
Massachusetts MinutemenHome
28%Akron
72%UMass
Eagle safe pickUnder 60.5 points
-301

Quick answer

Our prediction for Akron Zips vs Massachusetts Minutemen is Massachusetts Minutemen to win, with a 72% chance. We project Akron Zips 20.8 and Massachusetts Minutemen 29.3. Our best bet is Under 60.5 points at -301.

Prediction
Massachusetts Minutemen to win
Chance
72%
Projected score
Akron Zips 21, Massachusetts Minutemen 29
Projected total
50.1 points
Best bet
Under 60.5 points at -301

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 60.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3012 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Akron to win
29% chanceFair price +2481 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Massachusetts Minutemen 72% and Akron Zips 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Massachusetts Minutemen won 1 of their last 5 and Akron Zips won 0 of their last 5. Massachusetts Minutemen come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Massachusetts Minutemen won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Akron Zips won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Massachusetts Minutemen score 17.9 points a game and let in 31.2. Akron Zips score 23.1 and let in 28.5. Their recent games average 49.1 and 51.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Massachusetts Minutemen won 0 and Akron Zips won 1. The last one ended Akron Zips 44, Massachusetts Minutemen 10.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 60.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Akron Zips vs Massachusetts Minutemen: Massachusetts Minutemen are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Massachusetts Minutemen host Akron Zips in the College Football on Wed 18 Nov, 19:00 at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium. Our prediction for Akron Zips vs Massachusetts Minutemen is Massachusetts Minutemen to win, with a 72% chance. We project Akron Zips 20.8 and Massachusetts Minutemen 29.3. Our best bet is Under 60.5 points at -301.

Massachusetts Minutemen form

Massachusetts Minutemen have 5 wins and 14 losses in their last 19 games, with 340 points scored and 593 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Akron Zips form

Akron Zips have 6 wins and 13 losses in their last 19 games, with 439 points scored and 541 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Massachusetts Minutemen won 0, Akron Zips won 1. Last time out it finished Akron Zips 44, Massachusetts Minutemen 10.

Our call

We expect Akron Zips to score about 20.8 points and Massachusetts Minutemen about 29.3. That points to Massachusetts Minutemen to win. Our safest bet is Under 60.5 points at -301. Our bold bet is Akron to win at +248.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

UMassAkron
Games played1919
Wins56
Losses1413
Points scored340439
Points conceded593541
Scored per game17.923.1
Conceded per game31.228.5
Home record3W 6L4W 5L
Away record2W 8L2W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

UMass spreadCoversFair
UMass -15.533%+201
UMass -11.543%+134
UMass -8.550%-101
UMass -5.558%-136
UMass -1.567%-204
Total pointsOverUnder
43.566%34%
47.556%44%
50.549%51%
53.542%58%
57.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. UMass +3.5 wins if UMass win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Akron Zips vs Massachusetts Minutemen?

Our prediction for Akron Zips vs Massachusetts Minutemen is Massachusetts Minutemen to win, with a 72% chance. We project Akron Zips 20.8 and Massachusetts Minutemen 29.3. Our best bet is Under 60.5 points at -301.

What is the projected score for Akron Zips vs Massachusetts Minutemen?

We project Akron Zips 20.8 and Massachusetts Minutemen 29.3, about 50.1 points in total.

How are Massachusetts Minutemen playing?

Massachusetts Minutemen have 5 wins and 14 losses in their last 19 games, with 340 points scored and 593 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Akron Zips playing?

Akron Zips have 6 wins and 13 losses in their last 19 games, with 439 points scored and 541 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Massachusetts Minutemen and Akron Zips last met?

It ended Akron Zips 44, Massachusetts Minutemen 10. In the last 1 meeting Massachusetts Minutemen won 0 and Akron Zips won 1.

What is the best bet for Akron Zips vs Massachusetts Minutemen?

Under 60.5 points at -301, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in UMass against Akron. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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