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Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Ahli vs Al Khaleej
Saudi Pro LeagueThu 22 Oct, 18:00 Saudi Arabia time

Al Ahli vs Al Khaleej prediction

Prince Abdullah Al-Faisal Stadium

Al AhliHome
2.89 : 0.65
expected goals
Al KhaleejAway
83%Al Ahli
12%Draw
5%Al Khaleej
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Ahli vs Al Khaleej is Al Ahli to win, with a 83% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Al Ahli to win
Chance
83%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Al Ahli 2.9, Al Khaleej 0.7
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Ahli to win and both score
32% chanceFair price 3.171 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Ahli 83%, the draw 12% and Al Khaleej 5%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Ahli took 9 points from their last 5 games and Al Khaleej took 3 from 5. Al Ahli come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Ahli won 8 of their last 8 games at home. Al Khaleej won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Ahli score 2.4 goals a game and let in 1.0. Al Khaleej score 0.9 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Al Ahli games and 11 of Al Khaleej games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Ahli won 2 and Al Khaleej won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Al Khaleej 1, Al Ahli 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Ahlirecent form+1%
  • Al Khaleejrecent form-3%
  • Al Khaleejrest between games-2%
Al Ahli form D W L D WAl Khaleej form D D D L LHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Ahli vs Al Khaleej: Al Ahli are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Al Ahli host Al Khaleej in the Saudi Pro League on Thu 22 Oct, 18:00 at Prince Abdullah Al-Faisal Stadium. Our prediction for Al Ahli vs Al Khaleej is Al Ahli to win, with a 83% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Al Ahli form

Al Ahli have 14 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Al Khaleej form

Al Khaleej have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Ahli won 2, Al Khaleej won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Al Khaleej 1, Al Ahli 4.

Our call

We expect Al Ahli to score about 2.9 goals and Al Khaleej about 0.7. That points to Al Ahli to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Al Ahli to win and both score at 3.17.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al AhliAl Khaleej
Games played2020
Wins143
Draws17
Losses510
Goals scored4718
Goals conceded2039
Scored per game2.40.9
Conceded per game1.01.9
Home record8W 0D 0L2W 3D 6L
Away record6W 1D 5L1W 4D 4L
Clean sheets45%20%
Both teams scored45%55%
Over 2.5 goals75%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.15
Over 2.5 goals69%1.46
Over 3.5 goals47%2.13
Both teams to score45%2.21
Al Ahli or Draw95%1.06
Al Khaleej or Draw17%5.73
Al Ahli to win and Over 2.562%1.61
Al Khaleej to win and Over 2.53%32.07
Al Ahli clean sheet52%1.91
Al Khaleej clean sheet6%17.95

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-012.2%
3-011.7%
4-08.5%
1-08.1%
2-17.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Ahli vs Al Khaleej?

Our prediction for Al Ahli vs Al Khaleej is Al Ahli to win, with a 83% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Al Ahli vs Al Khaleej?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 3-0 and 4-0. We expect Al Ahli to score 2.9 goals and Al Khaleej 0.7.

Will both teams score in Al Ahli vs Al Khaleej?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Al Ahli last 20 games and 11 of Al Khaleej last 20.

How are Al Ahli playing?

Al Ahli have 14 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Al Khaleej playing?

Al Khaleej have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Al Ahli and Al Khaleej last met?

It ended Al Khaleej 1, Al Ahli 4. In the last 2 meetings Al Ahli won 2 and Al Khaleej won 0.

What is the best bet for Al Ahli vs Al Khaleej?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Ahli against Al Khaleej. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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