Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Ahli vs Al Taawoun
Saudi Pro LeagueSat 7 Nov, 17:30 Saudi Arabia time

Al Ahli vs Al Taawoun prediction

King Abdullah Sports City

Al AhliHome
3.10 : 0.73
expected goals
Al TaawounAway
83%Al Ahli
11%Draw
5%Al Taawoun
Eagle safe pickAl Ahli to win
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Ahli vs Al Taawoun is Al Ahli to win, with a 83% chance. The most likely score is 3-0. Our best bet is Al Ahli to win at 1.20.

Prediction
Al Ahli to win
Chance
83%
Most likely score
3-0
Expected goals
Al Ahli 3.1, Al Taawoun 0.7
Best bet
Al Ahli to win at 1.20
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Al Ahli to win
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Ahli to win and both score
37% chanceFair price 2.691 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Ahli 83%, the draw 11% and Al Taawoun 5%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Ahli took 12 points from their last 5 games and Al Taawoun took 1 from 5. Al Ahli come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Ahli won 9 of their last 9 games at home. Al Taawoun won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Ahli score 2.6 goals a game and let in 1.1. Al Taawoun score 0.9 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 17 of Al Ahli games and 11 of Al Taawoun games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Ahli won 2 and Al Taawoun won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Al Taawoun 1, Al Ahli 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Al Ahli to win has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Ahlirecent form+6%
  • Al Taawounrecent form-1%
Al Ahli form D W W W WAl Taawoun form D L L D WHome edge in this league 12% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Ahli vs Al Taawoun: Al Ahli are favourites

The big picture

Al Ahli host Al Taawoun in the Saudi Pro League on Sat 7 Nov, 17:30 at King Abdullah Sports City. Our prediction for Al Ahli vs Al Taawoun is Al Ahli to win, with a 83% chance. The most likely score is 3-0. Our best bet is Al Ahli to win at 1.20.

Al Ahli form

Al Ahli have 14 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 52 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Al Taawoun form

Al Taawoun have 2 wins, 7 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Ahli won 2, Al Taawoun won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Al Taawoun 1, Al Ahli 2.

Our call

We expect Al Ahli to score about 3.1 goals and Al Taawoun about 0.7. That points to Al Ahli to win, with 3-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Al Ahli to win at 1.20. Our bold bet is Al Ahli to win and both score at 2.69.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al AhliAl Taawoun
Games played2020
Wins142
Draws17
Losses511
Goals scored5219
Goals conceded2334
Scored per game2.60.9
Conceded per game1.11.7
Home record9W 0D 0L0W 4D 5L
Away record5W 1D 5L2W 3D 6L
Clean sheets35%15%
Both teams scored55%55%
Over 2.5 goals85%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals90%1.11
Over 2.5 goals74%1.36
Over 3.5 goals53%1.88
Both teams to score50%2.01
Al Ahli or Draw95%1.06
Al Taawoun or Draw17%6.00
Al Ahli to win and Over 2.566%1.50
Al Taawoun to win and Over 2.54%28.56
Al Ahli clean sheet48%2.08
Al Taawoun clean sheet5%22.17

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

3-010.8%
2-010.4%
4-08.3%
3-17.9%
2-17.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Ahli vs Al Taawoun?

Our prediction for Al Ahli vs Al Taawoun is Al Ahli to win, with a 83% chance. The most likely score is 3-0. Our best bet is Al Ahli to win at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Al Ahli vs Al Taawoun?

3-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 4-0. We expect Al Ahli to score 3.1 goals and Al Taawoun 0.7.

Will both teams score in Al Ahli vs Al Taawoun?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Al Ahli last 20 games and 11 of Al Taawoun last 20.

How are Al Ahli playing?

Al Ahli have 14 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 52 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Al Taawoun playing?

Al Taawoun have 2 wins, 7 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Al Ahli and Al Taawoun last met?

It ended Al Taawoun 1, Al Ahli 2. In the last 2 meetings Al Ahli won 2 and Al Taawoun won 0.

What is the best bet for Al Ahli vs Al Taawoun?

Al Ahli to win at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Ahli against Al Taawoun. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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