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Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Diriyah vs Al Taawoun
Saudi Pro LeagueSat 17 Oct, 18:00 Saudi Arabia time

Al Diriyah vs Al Taawoun prediction

Al-Awwal Park

Al DiriyahHome
1.01 : 1.23
expected goals
Al TaawounAway
29%Al Diriyah
30%Draw
40%Al Taawoun
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Diriyah vs Al Taawoun is Al Taawoun to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction
Al Taawoun to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Al Diriyah 1.0, Al Taawoun 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score
46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.141 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Diriyah 29%, the draw 30% and Al Taawoun 40%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Diriyah took 8 points from their last 5 games and Al Taawoun took 2 from 5. Al Diriyah come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Diriyah won 0 of their last 4 games at home. Al Taawoun won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Diriyah score 1.0 goals a game and let in 0.7. Al Taawoun score 1.2 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of Al Diriyah games and 11 of Al Taawoun games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Diriyahrecent form+1%
  • Al Taawounrecent form-4%
  • Al Taawounrest between games-3%
Al Diriyah form D W L W DAl Taawoun form D L L D LHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Diriyah vs Al Taawoun: Al Taawoun shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Al Diriyah host Al Taawoun in the Saudi Pro League on Sat 17 Oct, 18:00 at Al-Awwal Park. Our prediction for Al Diriyah vs Al Taawoun is Al Taawoun to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

Al Diriyah form

Al Diriyah have 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 7 games, with 7 goals scored and 5 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Al Taawoun form

Al Taawoun have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Al Diriyah to score about 1.0 goals and Al Taawoun about 1.2. That points to Al Taawoun to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.14.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al DiriyahAl Taawoun
Games played720
Wins33
Draws28
Losses29
Goals scored724
Goals conceded534
Scored per game1.01.2
Conceded per game0.71.7
Home record0W 2D 2L1W 5D 5L
Away record3W 0D 0L2W 3D 4L
Clean sheets43%15%
Both teams scored29%65%
Over 2.5 goals29%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals66%1.50
Over 2.5 goals39%2.57
Over 3.5 goals19%5.26
Both teams to score46%2.18
Al Diriyah or Draw60%1.68
Al Taawoun or Draw71%1.42
Al Diriyah to win and Over 2.514%7.09
Al Taawoun to win and Over 2.520%4.97
Al Diriyah clean sheet29%3.43
Al Taawoun clean sheet36%2.75

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.0%
0-112.3%
0-011.4%
1-09.9%
1-28.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Saudi Pro League

Ronaldo Demands Lifetime Bans After Fans Taunt Ruben Neves

Cristiano Ronaldo wants lifetime stadium bans for fans who taunted Ruben Neves about his late Portugal teammate Diogo Jota.

13 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Diriyah vs Al Taawoun?

Our prediction for Al Diriyah vs Al Taawoun is Al Taawoun to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Al Diriyah vs Al Taawoun?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Al Diriyah to score 1.0 goals and Al Taawoun 1.2.

Will both teams score in Al Diriyah vs Al Taawoun?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 2 of Al Diriyah last 7 games and 13 of Al Taawoun last 20.

How are Al Diriyah playing?

Al Diriyah have 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 7 games, with 7 goals scored and 5 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Al Taawoun playing?

Al Taawoun have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Al Diriyah vs Al Taawoun?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Diriyah against Al Taawoun. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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