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Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej
Saudi Pro LeagueSat 10 Oct, 14:55 Saudi Arabia time

Al Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej prediction

Al Ettifaq Club Stadium

Al EttifaqHome
1.63 : 1.30
expected goals
Al KhaleejAway
44%Al Ettifaq
26%Draw
30%Al Khaleej
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej is Al Ettifaq to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
Al Ettifaq to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Al Ettifaq 1.6, Al Khaleej 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Ettifaq to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 3.531 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Ettifaq 44%, the draw 26% and Al Khaleej 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Ettifaq took 5 points from their last 5 games and Al Khaleej took 3 from 5. Al Ettifaq come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Ettifaq won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Al Khaleej won 1 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Ettifaq score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.7. Al Khaleej score 0.8 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Al Ettifaq games and 11 of Al Khaleej games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Ettifaq won 1 and Al Khaleej won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Al Khaleej 0, Al Ettifaq 5.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Ettifaqrecent form-1%
  • Al Khaleejrecent form-3%
Al Ettifaq form D D W L LAl Khaleej form D D L L DHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej: Al Ettifaq shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Al Ettifaq host Al Khaleej in the Saudi Pro League on Sat 10 Oct, 14:55 at Al Ettifaq Club Stadium. Our prediction for Al Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej is Al Ettifaq to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Al Ettifaq form

Al Ettifaq have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Al Khaleej form

Al Khaleej have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Ettifaq won 1, Al Khaleej won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Al Khaleej 0, Al Ettifaq 5.

Our call

We expect Al Ettifaq to score about 1.6 goals and Al Khaleej about 1.3. That points to Al Ettifaq to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Al Ettifaq to win and Over 2.5 at 3.53.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al EttifaqAl Khaleej
Games played2020
Wins73
Draws56
Losses811
Goals scored3217
Goals conceded3439
Scored per game1.60.8
Conceded per game1.71.9
Home record3W 3D 4L2W 3D 7L
Away record4W 2D 4L1W 3D 4L
Clean sheets25%20%
Both teams scored55%50%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.78
Over 3.5 goals34%2.97
Both teams to score59%1.69
Al Ettifaq or Draw70%1.43
Al Khaleej or Draw56%1.80
Al Ettifaq to win and Over 2.529%3.42
Al Khaleej to win and Over 2.519%5.21
Al Ettifaq clean sheet27%3.68
Al Khaleej clean sheet20%5.08

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.0%
2-19.2%
1-08.0%
1-27.4%
2-07.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej?

Our prediction for Al Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej is Al Ettifaq to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Al Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Al Ettifaq to score 1.6 goals and Al Khaleej 1.3.

Will both teams score in Al Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Al Ettifaq last 20 games and 10 of Al Khaleej last 20.

How are Al Ettifaq playing?

Al Ettifaq have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Al Khaleej playing?

Al Khaleej have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Al Ettifaq and Al Khaleej last met?

It ended Al Khaleej 0, Al Ettifaq 5. In the last 2 meetings Al Ettifaq won 1 and Al Khaleej won 1.

What is the best bet for Al Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Ettifaq against Al Khaleej. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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