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Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Faisaly vs Al Diriyah
Saudi Pro LeagueSat 7 Nov, 13:20 Saudi Arabia time

Al Faisaly vs Al Diriyah prediction

Al Majma'a Sport City Stadium

Al FaisalyHome
1.09 : 1.51
expected goals
Al DiriyahAway
27%Al Faisaly
27%Draw
46%Al Diriyah
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Faisaly vs Al Diriyah is Al Diriyah to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Al Diriyah to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Al Faisaly 1.1, Al Diriyah 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.331 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Diriyah to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.801 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Faisaly 27%, the draw 27% and Al Diriyah 46%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Faisaly took 7 points from their last 5 games and Al Diriyah took 5 from 5. Al Faisaly come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Faisaly won 1 of their last 6 games at home. Al Diriyah won 3 of their last 5 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Faisaly score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.8. Al Diriyah score 0.8 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Al Faisaly games and 3 of Al Diriyah games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Faisalyrecent form-1%
  • Al Faisalyrest between games-5%
Al Faisaly form D L D W LAl Diriyah form D W D L DHome edge in this league 12% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Faisaly vs Al Diriyah: Al Diriyah are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Al Faisaly host Al Diriyah in the Saudi Pro League on Sat 7 Nov, 13:20 at Al Majma'a Sport City Stadium. Our prediction for Al Faisaly vs Al Diriyah is Al Diriyah to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Al Faisaly form

Al Faisaly have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 11 games, with 12 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Al Diriyah form

Al Diriyah have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 11 games, with 9 goals scored and 11 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Al Faisaly to score about 1.1 goals and Al Diriyah about 1.5. That points to Al Diriyah to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Al Diriyah to win and Over 2.5 at 3.80.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 11 games in all competitions.

Al FaisalyAl Diriyah
Games played1111
Wins24
Draws43
Losses54
Goals scored129
Goals conceded2011
Scored per game1.10.8
Conceded per game1.81.0
Home record1W 2D 3L1W 3D 2L
Away record1W 2D 2L3W 0D 2L
Clean sheets27%36%
Both teams scored64%27%
Over 2.5 goals55%27%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.35
Over 2.5 goals48%2.08
Over 3.5 goals26%3.78
Both teams to score52%1.91
Al Faisaly or Draw54%1.86
Al Diriyah or Draw73%1.36
Al Faisaly to win and Over 2.515%6.70
Al Diriyah to win and Over 2.527%3.68
Al Faisaly clean sheet22%4.52
Al Diriyah clean sheet34%2.98

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.0%
0-110.5%
1-29.2%
0-28.4%
0-08.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Faisaly vs Al Diriyah?

Our prediction for Al Faisaly vs Al Diriyah is Al Diriyah to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Al Faisaly vs Al Diriyah?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Al Faisaly to score 1.1 goals and Al Diriyah 1.5.

Will both teams score in Al Faisaly vs Al Diriyah?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Al Faisaly last 11 games and 3 of Al Diriyah last 11.

How are Al Faisaly playing?

Al Faisaly have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 11 games, with 12 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, L, newest first.

How are Al Diriyah playing?

Al Diriyah have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 11 games, with 9 goals scored and 11 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Al Faisaly vs Al Diriyah?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Faisaly against Al Diriyah. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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