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Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Faisaly vs Al Kholood
Saudi Pro LeagueThu 15 Oct, 13:40 Saudi Arabia time

Al Faisaly vs Al Kholood prediction

Al Majma'a Sport City Stadium

AFAl FaisalyHome
1.12 : 1.35
expected goals
Al KholoodAway
30%Al Faisaly
28%Draw
41%Al Kholood
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Faisaly vs Al Kholood is Al Kholood to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Al Kholood to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Al Faisaly 1.1, Al Kholood 1.4
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.381 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Faisaly 30%, the draw 28% and Al Kholood 41%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Faisaly took 3 points from their last 5 games and Al Kholood took 8 from 5. Al Kholood come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Faisaly won 0 of their last 4 games at home. Al Kholood won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Faisaly score 0.7 goals a game and let in 1.9. Al Kholood score 1.2 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of Al Faisaly games and 12 of Al Kholood games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Faisalyrecent form-3%
  • Al Kholoodrecent form+1%
Al Faisaly form L D D L DAl Kholood form L W D W DHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Faisaly vs Al Kholood: Al Kholood shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Al Faisaly host Al Kholood in the Saudi Pro League on Thu 15 Oct, 13:40 at Al Majma'a Sport City Stadium. Our prediction for Al Faisaly vs Al Kholood is Al Kholood to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

Al Faisaly form

Al Faisaly have 0 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 7 games, with 5 goals scored and 13 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, D, newest first.

Al Kholood form

Al Kholood have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Al Faisaly to score about 1.1 goals and Al Kholood about 1.4. That points to Al Kholood to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.38.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al FaisalyAl Kholood
Games played720
Wins06
Draws38
Losses46
Goals scored524
Goals conceded1334
Scored per game0.71.2
Conceded per game1.91.7
Home record0W 2D 2L3W 4D 2L
Away record0W 1D 2L3W 4D 4L
Clean sheets29%15%
Both teams scored57%65%
Over 2.5 goals43%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%1.40
Over 2.5 goals45%2.23
Over 3.5 goals24%4.23
Both teams to score51%1.97
Al Faisaly or Draw59%1.70
Al Kholood or Draw70%1.43
Al Faisaly to win and Over 2.516%6.17
Al Kholood to win and Over 2.523%4.36
Al Faisaly clean sheet26%3.87
Al Kholood clean sheet33%3.06

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.6%
0-110.7%
0-09.2%
1-08.7%
1-28.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Faisaly vs Al Kholood?

Our prediction for Al Faisaly vs Al Kholood is Al Kholood to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Al Faisaly vs Al Kholood?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Al Faisaly to score 1.1 goals and Al Kholood 1.4.

Will both teams score in Al Faisaly vs Al Kholood?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 4 of Al Faisaly last 7 games and 13 of Al Kholood last 20.

How are Al Faisaly playing?

Al Faisaly have 0 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 7 games, with 5 goals scored and 13 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, D, newest first.

How are Al Kholood playing?

Al Kholood have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Al Faisaly vs Al Kholood?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Faisaly against Al Kholood. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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