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Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr
Saudi Pro LeagueFri 23 Oct, 13:30 Saudi Arabia time

Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr prediction

Al Majma'a Sport City Stadium

Al FaisalyHome
0.82 : 2.32
expected goals
Al NassrAway
11%Al Faisaly
18%Draw
70%Al Nassr
Eagle safe pickAl Nassr draw no bet
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr is Al Nassr to win, with a 70% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Al Nassr draw no bet at 1.19.

Prediction
Al Nassr to win
Chance
70%
Most likely score
0-2
Expected goals
Al Faisaly 0.8, Al Nassr 2.3
Best bet
Al Nassr draw no bet at 1.19
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Al Nassr draw no bet
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Nassr to win and both score
29% chanceFair price 3.411 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Faisaly 11%, the draw 18% and Al Nassr 70%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Faisaly took 3 points from their last 5 games and Al Nassr took 10 from 5. Al Nassr come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Faisaly won 0 of their last 4 games at home. Al Nassr won 7 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Faisaly score 0.7 goals a game and let in 1.9. Al Nassr score 2.6 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of Al Faisaly games and 14 of Al Nassr games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Al Nassr draw no bet has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Faisalyrecent form-3%
  • Al Nassrrecent form+1%
  • Al Faisalyrest between games-3%
Al Faisaly form L D D L DAl Nassr form D W L D WHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr: Al Nassr are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Al Faisaly host Al Nassr in the Saudi Pro League on Fri 23 Oct, 13:30 at Al Majma'a Sport City Stadium. Our prediction for Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr is Al Nassr to win, with a 70% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Al Nassr draw no bet at 1.19.

Al Faisaly form

Al Faisaly have 0 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 7 games, with 5 goals scored and 13 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, D, newest first.

Al Nassr form

Al Nassr have 16 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Al Faisaly to score about 0.8 goals and Al Nassr about 2.3. That points to Al Nassr to win, with 0-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Al Nassr draw no bet at 1.19. Our bold bet is Al Nassr to win and both score at 3.41.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al FaisalyAl Nassr
Games played720
Wins016
Draws32
Losses42
Goals scored553
Goals conceded1317
Scored per game0.72.6
Conceded per game1.90.8
Home record0W 2D 2L9W 1D 0L
Away record0W 1D 2L7W 1D 2L
Clean sheets29%45%
Both teams scored57%55%
Over 2.5 goals43%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.64
Over 3.5 goals38%2.60
Both teams to score51%1.96
Al Faisaly or Draw30%3.38
Al Nassr or Draw89%1.13
Al Faisaly to win and Over 2.57%15.08
Al Nassr to win and Over 2.549%2.03
Al Faisaly clean sheet10%10.17
Al Nassr clean sheet44%2.28

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-211.6%
1-29.6%
0-19.5%
0-39.0%
1-18.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Saudi Pro League

Ronaldo Demands Lifetime Bans After Fans Taunt Ruben Neves

Cristiano Ronaldo wants lifetime stadium bans for fans who taunted Ruben Neves about his late Portugal teammate Diogo Jota.

13 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr?

Our prediction for Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr is Al Nassr to win, with a 70% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Al Nassr draw no bet at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr?

0-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Al Faisaly to score 0.8 goals and Al Nassr 2.3.

Will both teams score in Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 4 of Al Faisaly last 7 games and 11 of Al Nassr last 20.

How are Al Faisaly playing?

Al Faisaly have 0 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 7 games, with 5 goals scored and 13 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, D, newest first.

How are Al Nassr playing?

Al Nassr have 16 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr?

Al Nassr draw no bet at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Faisaly against Al Nassr. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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