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Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh
Saudi Pro LeagueFri 6 Nov, 14:30 Saudi Arabia time

Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh prediction

Al Fateh Club Stadium

Al FatehHome
1.58 : 1.43
expected goals
Al RiyadhAway
41%Al Fateh
26%Draw
34%Al Riyadh
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh is Al Fateh to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction
Al Fateh to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Al Fateh 1.6, Al Riyadh 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Fateh to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.791 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Fateh 41%, the draw 26% and Al Riyadh 34%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Fateh took 3 points from their last 5 games and Al Riyadh took 8 from 5. Al Riyadh come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Fateh won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Al Riyadh won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Fateh score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.6. Al Riyadh score 1.2 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Al Fateh games and 11 of Al Riyadh games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Fateh won 1 and Al Riyadh won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Al Riyadh 1, Al Fateh 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Fatehrecent form-3%
Al Fateh form D L W L LAl Riyadh form D L D W DHome edge in this league 12% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh: Al Fateh shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Al Fateh host Al Riyadh in the Saudi Pro League on Fri 6 Nov, 14:30 at Al Fateh Club Stadium. Our prediction for Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh is Al Fateh to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Al Fateh form

Al Fateh have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Al Riyadh form

Al Riyadh have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Fateh won 1, Al Riyadh won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Al Riyadh 1, Al Fateh 0.

Our call

We expect Al Fateh to score about 1.6 goals and Al Riyadh about 1.4. That points to Al Fateh to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Al Fateh to win and Over 2.5 at 3.79.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al FatehAl Riyadh
Games played2020
Wins37
Draws65
Losses118
Goals scored1724
Goals conceded3237
Scored per game0.81.2
Conceded per game1.61.9
Home record2W 2D 6L6W 1D 2L
Away record1W 4D 5L1W 4D 6L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored45%50%
Over 2.5 goals45%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.73
Over 3.5 goals36%2.82
Both teams to score61%1.64
Al Fateh or Draw66%1.51
Al Riyadh or Draw59%1.69
Al Fateh to win and Over 2.527%3.65
Al Riyadh to win and Over 2.522%4.47
Al Fateh clean sheet24%4.16
Al Riyadh clean sheet20%4.88

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.8%
2-18.8%
1-27.9%
1-07.1%
0-16.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh?

Our prediction for Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh is Al Fateh to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Al Fateh to score 1.6 goals and Al Riyadh 1.4.

Will both teams score in Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Al Fateh last 20 games and 10 of Al Riyadh last 20.

How are Al Fateh playing?

Al Fateh have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Al Riyadh playing?

Al Riyadh have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Al Fateh and Al Riyadh last met?

It ended Al Riyadh 1, Al Fateh 0. In the last 2 meetings Al Fateh won 1 and Al Riyadh won 1.

What is the best bet for Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Fateh against Al Riyadh. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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