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Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Fateh vs Al Shabab
Saudi Pro LeagueThu 22 Oct, 14:45 Saudi Arabia time

Al Fateh vs Al Shabab prediction

Al Fateh Club Stadium

Al FatehHome
1.00 : 1.07
expected goals
Al ShababAway
32%Al Fateh
32%Draw
36%Al Shabab
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Fateh vs Al Shabab is Al Shabab to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
Al Shabab to win
Chance
36%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Al Fateh 1.0, Al Shabab 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 6.991 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Fateh 32%, the draw 32% and Al Shabab 36%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Fateh took 2 points from their last 5 games and Al Shabab took 5 from 5. Al Shabab come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Fateh won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Al Shabab won 0 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Fateh score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.4. Al Shabab score 1.4 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Al Fateh games and 11 of Al Shabab games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Fateh won 1 and Al Shabab won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Al Shabab 1, Al Fateh 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Fatehrecent form-3%
  • Al Shababrecent form-3%
  • Al Shababrest between games-5%
Al Fateh form D L L D DAl Shabab form D D L L DHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Fateh vs Al Shabab: Al Shabab shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Al Fateh host Al Shabab in the Saudi Pro League on Thu 22 Oct, 14:45 at Al Fateh Club Stadium. Our prediction for Al Fateh vs Al Shabab is Al Shabab to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Al Fateh form

Al Fateh have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Al Shabab form

Al Shabab have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Fateh won 1, Al Shabab won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Al Shabab 1, Al Fateh 1.

Our call

We expect Al Fateh to score about 1.0 goals and Al Shabab about 1.1. That points to Al Shabab to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 6.99.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al FatehAl Shabab
Games played2020
Wins34
Draws78
Losses108
Goals scored1629
Goals conceded2936
Scored per game0.81.4
Conceded per game1.41.8
Home record3W 3D 4L4W 3D 5L
Away record0W 4D 6L0W 5D 3L
Clean sheets25%20%
Both teams scored45%70%
Over 2.5 goals40%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals62%1.60
Over 2.5 goals34%2.90
Over 3.5 goals16%6.35
Both teams to score43%2.35
Al Fateh or Draw64%1.56
Al Shabab or Draw68%1.48
Al Fateh to win and Over 2.514%7.01
Al Shabab to win and Over 2.516%6.21
Al Fateh clean sheet34%2.93
Al Shabab clean sheet37%2.73

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.3%
0-013.3%
0-112.6%
1-011.7%
1-27.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Fateh vs Al Shabab?

Our prediction for Al Fateh vs Al Shabab is Al Shabab to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Al Fateh vs Al Shabab?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 0-1. We expect Al Fateh to score 1.0 goals and Al Shabab 1.1.

Will both teams score in Al Fateh vs Al Shabab?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Al Fateh last 20 games and 14 of Al Shabab last 20.

How are Al Fateh playing?

Al Fateh have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

How are Al Shabab playing?

Al Shabab have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Al Fateh and Al Shabab last met?

It ended Al Shabab 1, Al Fateh 1. In the last 2 meetings Al Fateh won 1 and Al Shabab won 0.

What is the best bet for Al Fateh vs Al Shabab?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Fateh against Al Shabab. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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