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Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Hazem vs Al Fateh
Saudi Pro LeagueThu 15 Oct, 15:15 Saudi Arabia time

Al Hazem vs Al Fateh prediction

Al-Hazm Club Stadium

Al HazemHome
1.45 : 0.98
expected goals
Al FatehAway
47%Al Hazem
28%Draw
25%Al Fateh
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Hazem vs Al Fateh is Al Hazem to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Al Hazem to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Al Hazem 1.4, Al Fateh 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Hazem to win and Over 2.5
25% chanceFair price 3.941 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Hazem 47%, the draw 28% and Al Fateh 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Hazem took 5 points from their last 5 games and Al Fateh took 3 from 5. Al Hazem come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Hazem won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Al Fateh won 0 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Hazem score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Al Fateh score 0.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Al Hazem games and 8 of Al Fateh games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Hazem won 0 and Al Fateh won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Al Fateh 1, Al Hazem 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Hazemrecent form-1%
  • Al Fatehrecent form-3%
Al Hazem form L W D D LAl Fateh form L L D D DHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Hazem vs Al Fateh: Al Hazem are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Al Hazem host Al Fateh in the Saudi Pro League on Thu 15 Oct, 15:15 at Al-Hazm Club Stadium. Our prediction for Al Hazem vs Al Fateh is Al Hazem to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

Al Hazem form

Al Hazem have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, L, newest first.

Al Fateh form

Al Fateh have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Hazem won 0, Al Fateh won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Al Fateh 1, Al Hazem 1.

Our call

We expect Al Hazem to score about 1.4 goals and Al Fateh about 1.0. That points to Al Hazem to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Al Hazem to win and Over 2.5 at 3.94.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al HazemAl Fateh
Games played2020
Wins73
Draws57
Losses810
Goals scored2319
Goals conceded2829
Scored per game1.10.9
Conceded per game1.41.4
Home record6W 2D 2L3W 3D 3L
Away record1W 3D 6L0W 4D 7L
Clean sheets20%25%
Both teams scored55%50%
Over 2.5 goals50%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%2.29
Over 3.5 goals23%4.43
Both teams to score48%2.07
Al Hazem or Draw75%1.33
Al Fateh or Draw53%1.89
Al Hazem to win and Over 2.526%3.87
Al Fateh to win and Over 2.513%7.93
Al Hazem clean sheet38%2.66
Al Fateh clean sheet24%4.24

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.3%
1-012.1%
0-09.6%
2-09.3%
2-19.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Hazem vs Al Fateh?

Our prediction for Al Hazem vs Al Fateh is Al Hazem to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Al Hazem vs Al Fateh?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Al Hazem to score 1.4 goals and Al Fateh 1.0.

Will both teams score in Al Hazem vs Al Fateh?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Al Hazem last 20 games and 10 of Al Fateh last 20.

How are Al Hazem playing?

Al Hazem have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, L, newest first.

How are Al Fateh playing?

Al Fateh have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Al Hazem and Al Fateh last met?

It ended Al Fateh 1, Al Hazem 1. In the last 2 meetings Al Hazem won 0 and Al Fateh won 0.

What is the best bet for Al Hazem vs Al Fateh?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Hazem against Al Fateh. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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