Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Hazem vs Al Nassr
Saudi Pro LeagueFri 6 Nov, 14:55 Saudi Arabia time

Al Hazem vs Al Nassr prediction

Al-Hazm Club Stadium

Al HazemHome
1.06 : 2.47
expected goals
Al NassrAway
14%Al Hazem
18%Draw
68%Al Nassr
Eagle safe pickAl Nassr draw no bet
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Hazem vs Al Nassr is Al Nassr to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Al Nassr draw no bet at 1.20.

Prediction
Al Nassr to win
Chance
68%
Most likely score
1-2
Expected goals
Al Hazem 1.1, Al Nassr 2.5
Best bet
Al Nassr draw no bet at 1.20
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Al Nassr draw no bet
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Nassr to win and both score
36% chanceFair price 2.791 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Hazem 14%, the draw 18% and Al Nassr 68%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Hazem took 2 points from their last 5 games and Al Nassr took 13 from 5. Al Nassr come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Hazem won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Al Nassr won 6 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Hazem score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Al Nassr score 2.5 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Al Hazem games and 13 of Al Nassr games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Hazem won 0 and Al Nassr won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Al Nassr 4, Al Hazem 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Al Nassr draw no bet has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Hazemrecent form-4%
  • Al Nassrrecent form+3%
Al Hazem form D L L D LAl Nassr form D W W W LHome edge in this league 12% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Hazem vs Al Nassr: Al Nassr are favourites

The big picture

Al Hazem host Al Nassr in the Saudi Pro League on Fri 6 Nov, 14:55 at Al-Hazm Club Stadium. Our prediction for Al Hazem vs Al Nassr is Al Nassr to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Al Nassr draw no bet at 1.20.

Al Hazem form

Al Hazem have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Al Nassr form

Al Nassr have 16 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 49 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Hazem won 0, Al Nassr won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Al Nassr 4, Al Hazem 0.

Our call

We expect Al Hazem to score about 1.1 goals and Al Nassr about 2.5. That points to Al Nassr to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Al Nassr draw no bet at 1.20. Our bold bet is Al Nassr to win and both score at 2.79.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al HazemAl Nassr
Games played2020
Wins616
Draws62
Losses82
Goals scored2349
Goals conceded2717
Scored per game1.12.5
Conceded per game1.40.8
Home record5W 3D 3L10W 1D 0L
Away record1W 3D 5L6W 1D 2L
Clean sheets20%45%
Both teams scored55%55%
Over 2.5 goals45%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.15
Over 2.5 goals69%1.46
Over 3.5 goals47%2.12
Both teams to score60%1.66
Al Hazem or Draw32%3.11
Al Nassr or Draw86%1.16
Al Hazem to win and Over 2.510%10.36
Al Nassr to win and Over 2.552%1.92
Al Hazem clean sheet8%11.87
Al Nassr clean sheet35%2.89

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-29.5%
0-28.9%
1-18.1%
1-37.8%
0-37.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Hazem vs Al Nassr?

Our prediction for Al Hazem vs Al Nassr is Al Nassr to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Al Nassr draw no bet at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Al Hazem vs Al Nassr?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 0-2 and 1-1. We expect Al Hazem to score 1.1 goals and Al Nassr 2.5.

Will both teams score in Al Hazem vs Al Nassr?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Al Hazem last 20 games and 11 of Al Nassr last 20.

How are Al Hazem playing?

Al Hazem have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, L, newest first.

How are Al Nassr playing?

Al Nassr have 16 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 49 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Al Hazem and Al Nassr last met?

It ended Al Nassr 4, Al Hazem 0. In the last 2 meetings Al Hazem won 0 and Al Nassr won 2.

What is the best bet for Al Hazem vs Al Nassr?

Al Nassr draw no bet at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Hazem against Al Nassr. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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