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Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Hazem vs Neom SC
Saudi Pro LeagueSat 10 Oct, 13:50 Saudi Arabia time

Al Hazem vs Neom SC prediction

Al-Hazm Club Stadium

Al HazemHome
1.05 : 1.38
expected goals
Neom SCAway
28%Al Hazem
28%Draw
44%Neom SC
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Hazem vs Neom SC is Neom SC to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Neom SC to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Al Hazem 1.1, Neom SC 1.4
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Hazem 28%, the draw 28% and Neom SC 44%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Hazem took 5 points from their last 5 games and Neom SC took 9 from 5. Neom SC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Hazem won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Neom SC won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Hazem score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Neom SC score 1.5 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Al Hazem games and 9 of Neom SC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Hazem won 0 and Neom SC won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Neom SC 1, Al Hazem 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Hazemrecent form-1%
  • Neom SCrecent form+1%
Al Hazem form L W D D LNeom SC form W W W L LHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Hazem vs Neom SC: Neom SC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Al Hazem host Neom SC in the Saudi Pro League on Sat 10 Oct, 13:50 at Al-Hazm Club Stadium. Our prediction for Al Hazem vs Neom SC is Neom SC to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

Al Hazem form

Al Hazem have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, L, newest first.

Neom SC form

Neom SC have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Hazem won 0, Neom SC won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Neom SC 1, Al Hazem 1.

Our call

We expect Al Hazem to score about 1.1 goals and Neom SC about 1.4. That points to Neom SC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.40.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al HazemNeom SC
Games played2020
Wins79
Draws55
Losses86
Goals scored2330
Goals conceded2824
Scored per game1.11.5
Conceded per game1.41.2
Home record6W 2D 2L5W 3D 2L
Away record1W 3D 6L4W 2D 4L
Clean sheets20%25%
Both teams scored55%55%
Over 2.5 goals50%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%1.41
Over 2.5 goals44%2.27
Over 3.5 goals23%4.37
Both teams to score50%2.02
Al Hazem or Draw56%1.78
Neom SC or Draw72%1.38
Al Hazem to win and Over 2.515%6.89
Neom SC to win and Over 2.524%4.17
Al Hazem clean sheet25%3.99
Neom SC clean sheet35%2.86

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.5%
0-111.3%
0-09.5%
1-28.8%
1-08.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Hazem vs Neom SC?

Our prediction for Al Hazem vs Neom SC is Neom SC to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Al Hazem vs Neom SC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Al Hazem to score 1.1 goals and Neom SC 1.4.

Will both teams score in Al Hazem vs Neom SC?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Al Hazem last 20 games and 11 of Neom SC last 20.

How are Al Hazem playing?

Al Hazem have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, L, newest first.

How are Neom SC playing?

Neom SC have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Al Hazem and Neom SC last met?

It ended Neom SC 1, Al Hazem 1. In the last 2 meetings Al Hazem won 0 and Neom SC won 1.

What is the best bet for Al Hazem vs Neom SC?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Hazem against Neom SC. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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