Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Hilal vs Al Diriyah
Saudi Pro LeagueFri 20 Nov, 20:00 Saudi Arabia time

Al Hilal vs Al Diriyah prediction

Al HilalHome
2.00 : 0.80
expected goals
Al DiriyahAway
65%Al Hilal
22%Draw
13%Al Diriyah
Eagle safe pickAl Hilal draw no bet
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Hilal vs Al Diriyah is Al Hilal to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Al Hilal draw no bet at 1.21.

Prediction
Al Hilal to win
Chance
65%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Al Hilal 2.0, Al Diriyah 0.8
Best bet
Al Hilal draw no bet at 1.21
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Al Hilal draw no bet
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Hilal to win and Over 2.5
40% chanceFair price 2.501 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Hilal 65%, the draw 22% and Al Diriyah 13%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Hilal took 15 points from their last 5 games and Al Diriyah took 4 from 5. Al Hilal come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Hilal won 8 of their last 10 games at home. Al Diriyah won 3 of their last 5 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Hilal score 2.5 goals a game and let in 0.7. Al Diriyah score 0.8 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Al Hilal games and 4 of Al Diriyah games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Al Hilal draw no bet has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Hilalrecent form+4%
  • Al Diriyahrecent form-1%
Al Hilal form W W L W WAl Diriyah form D L W D LHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Hilal vs Al Diriyah: Al Hilal are favourites

The big picture

Al Hilal host Al Diriyah in the Saudi Pro League on Fri 20 Nov, 20:00. Our prediction for Al Hilal vs Al Diriyah is Al Hilal to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Al Hilal draw no bet at 1.21.

Al Hilal form

Al Hilal have 17 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 13 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Al Diriyah form

Al Diriyah have 4 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 12 games, with 10 goals scored and 13 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Al Hilal to score about 2.0 goals and Al Diriyah about 0.8. That points to Al Hilal to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Al Hilal draw no bet at 1.21. Our bold bet is Al Hilal to win and Over 2.5 at 2.50.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al HilalAl Diriyah
Games played2012
Wins174
Draws23
Losses15
Goals scored5110
Goals conceded1313
Scored per game2.50.8
Conceded per game0.71.1
Home record8W 1D 1L1W 3D 3L
Away record9W 1D 0L3W 0D 2L
Clean sheets60%33%
Both teams scored35%33%
Over 2.5 goals55%33%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.89
Over 3.5 goals31%3.25
Both teams to score48%2.08
Al Hilal or Draw87%1.16
Al Diriyah or Draw35%2.85
Al Hilal to win and Over 2.541%2.43
Al Diriyah to win and Over 2.57%13.76
Al Hilal clean sheet45%2.22
Al Diriyah clean sheet14%7.38

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-012.2%
1-011.6%
1-110.3%
2-19.7%
3-08.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Hilal vs Al Diriyah?

Our prediction for Al Hilal vs Al Diriyah is Al Hilal to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Al Hilal draw no bet at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Al Hilal vs Al Diriyah?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Al Hilal to score 2.0 goals and Al Diriyah 0.8.

Will both teams score in Al Hilal vs Al Diriyah?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Al Hilal last 20 games and 4 of Al Diriyah last 12.

How are Al Hilal playing?

Al Hilal have 17 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 13 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Al Diriyah playing?

Al Diriyah have 4 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 12 games, with 10 goals scored and 13 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Al Hilal vs Al Diriyah?

Al Hilal draw no bet at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Hilal against Al Diriyah. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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