Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Hilal vs Al Fateh
Saudi Pro LeagueSat 31 Oct, 18:00 Saudi Arabia time

Al Hilal vs Al Fateh prediction

Kingdom Arena

Al HilalHome
2.44 : 0.74
expected goals
Al FatehAway
74%Al Hilal
17%Draw
9%Al Fateh
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Hilal vs Al Fateh is Al Hilal to win, with a 74% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
Al Hilal to win
Chance
74%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Al Hilal 2.4, Al Fateh 0.7
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Hilal to win and both score
30% chanceFair price 3.311 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Hilal 74%, the draw 17% and Al Fateh 9%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Hilal took 12 points from their last 5 games and Al Fateh took 3 from 5. Al Hilal come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Hilal won 8 of their last 10 games at home. Al Fateh won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Hilal score 2.8 goals a game and let in 0.7. Al Fateh score 0.9 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Al Hilal games and 9 of Al Fateh games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Hilal won 2 and Al Fateh won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Al Fateh 0, Al Hilal 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Hilalrecent form+6%
  • Al Fatehrecent form-3%
  • Al Hilalrest between games-2%
Al Hilal form D W W W WAl Fateh form D W L L LHome edge in this league 12% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Hilal vs Al Fateh: Al Hilal are favourites

The big picture

Al Hilal host Al Fateh in the Saudi Pro League on Sat 31 Oct, 18:00 at Kingdom Arena. Our prediction for Al Hilal vs Al Fateh is Al Hilal to win, with a 74% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Al Hilal form

Al Hilal have 17 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Al Fateh form

Al Fateh have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Hilal won 2, Al Fateh won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Al Fateh 0, Al Hilal 1.

Our call

We expect Al Hilal to score about 2.4 goals and Al Fateh about 0.7. That points to Al Hilal to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Al Hilal to win and both score at 3.31.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al HilalAl Fateh
Games played2020
Wins173
Draws26
Losses111
Goals scored5518
Goals conceded1432
Scored per game2.80.9
Conceded per game0.71.6
Home record8W 1D 1L2W 2D 5L
Away record9W 1D 0L1W 4D 6L
Clean sheets60%25%
Both teams scored35%45%
Over 2.5 goals60%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.62
Over 3.5 goals39%2.54
Both teams to score48%2.07
Al Hilal or Draw91%1.10
Al Fateh or Draw26%3.88
Al Hilal to win and Over 2.552%1.91
Al Fateh to win and Over 2.55%19.24
Al Hilal clean sheet47%2.11
Al Fateh clean sheet9%11.46

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-012.3%
3-010.0%
1-09.7%
2-19.2%
1-18.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Hilal vs Al Fateh?

Our prediction for Al Hilal vs Al Fateh is Al Hilal to win, with a 74% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Al Hilal vs Al Fateh?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 3-0 and 1-0. We expect Al Hilal to score 2.4 goals and Al Fateh 0.7.

Will both teams score in Al Hilal vs Al Fateh?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Al Hilal last 20 games and 9 of Al Fateh last 20.

How are Al Hilal playing?

Al Hilal have 17 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Al Fateh playing?

Al Fateh have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Al Hilal and Al Fateh last met?

It ended Al Fateh 0, Al Hilal 1. In the last 2 meetings Al Hilal won 2 and Al Fateh won 0.

What is the best bet for Al Hilal vs Al Fateh?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Hilal against Al Fateh. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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