Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad
Saudi Pro LeagueSat 10 Oct, 18:00 Saudi Arabia time

Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad prediction

Kingdom Arena

Al HilalHome
1.87 : 1.13
expected goals
Al IttihadAway
54%Al Hilal
24%Draw
22%Al Ittihad
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad is Al Hilal to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction
Al Hilal to win
Chance
54%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Al Hilal 1.9, Al Ittihad 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Hilal to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price 2.901 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Hilal 54%, the draw 24% and Al Ittihad 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Hilal took 12 points from their last 5 games and Al Ittihad took 13 from 5. Al Ittihad come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Hilal won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Al Ittihad won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Hilal score 2.6 goals a game and let in 0.7. Al Ittihad score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Al Hilal games and 11 of Al Ittihad games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Hilal won 1 and Al Ittihad won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Al Hilal 1, Al Ittihad 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Hilalrecent form+4%
  • Al Ittihadrecent form+4%
Al Hilal form W W L W WAl Ittihad form D W W W DHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad: Al Hilal are favourites

The big picture

Al Hilal host Al Ittihad in the Saudi Pro League on Sat 10 Oct, 18:00 at Kingdom Arena. Our prediction for Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad is Al Hilal to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Al Hilal form

Al Hilal have 15 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Al Ittihad form

Al Ittihad have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Hilal won 1, Al Ittihad won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Al Hilal 1, Al Ittihad 1.

Our call

We expect Al Hilal to score about 1.9 goals and Al Ittihad about 1.1. That points to Al Hilal to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Al Hilal to win and Over 2.5 at 2.90.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al HilalAl Ittihad
Games played2020
Wins1510
Draws45
Losses15
Goals scored5331
Goals conceded1428
Scored per game2.61.6
Conceded per game0.71.4
Home record6W 2D 1L6W 2D 2L
Away record9W 2D 0L4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets55%30%
Both teams scored40%70%
Over 2.5 goals55%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.73
Over 3.5 goals35%2.83
Both teams to score58%1.72
Al Hilal or Draw78%1.29
Al Ittihad or Draw46%2.17
Al Hilal to win and Over 2.537%2.73
Al Ittihad to win and Over 2.514%7.10
Al Hilal clean sheet32%3.11
Al Ittihad clean sheet15%6.48

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.2%
2-19.8%
2-08.7%
1-08.6%
3-16.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad?

Our prediction for Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad is Al Hilal to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Al Hilal to score 1.9 goals and Al Ittihad 1.1.

Will both teams score in Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Al Hilal last 20 games and 14 of Al Ittihad last 20.

How are Al Hilal playing?

Al Hilal have 15 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Al Ittihad playing?

Al Ittihad have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Al Hilal and Al Ittihad last met?

It ended Al Hilal 1, Al Ittihad 1. In the last 2 meetings Al Hilal won 1 and Al Ittihad won 0.

What is the best bet for Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Hilal against Al Ittihad. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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