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Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Khaleej vs Al Fayha
Saudi Pro LeagueThu 15 Oct, 14:50 Saudi Arabia time

Al Khaleej vs Al Fayha prediction

Prince Mohammed Bin Fahd Stadium

Al KhaleejHome
1.29 : 1.27
expected goals
Al FayhaAway
36%Al Khaleej
28%Draw
35%Al Fayha
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Khaleej vs Al Fayha is Al Khaleej to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction
Al Khaleej to win
Chance
36%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Al Khaleej 1.3, Al Fayha 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.451 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Khaleej 36%, the draw 28% and Al Fayha 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Khaleej took 3 points from their last 5 games and Al Fayha took 6 from 5. Al Fayha come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Khaleej won 2 of their last 12 games at home. Al Fayha won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Khaleej score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.9. Al Fayha score 1.3 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Al Khaleej games and 11 of Al Fayha games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Khaleej won 1 and Al Fayha won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Al Fayha 3, Al Khaleej 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Khaleejrecent form-3%
Al Khaleej form D D L L DAl Fayha form D L D W DHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Khaleej vs Al Fayha: Al Khaleej shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Al Khaleej host Al Fayha in the Saudi Pro League on Thu 15 Oct, 14:50 at Prince Mohammed Bin Fahd Stadium. Our prediction for Al Khaleej vs Al Fayha is Al Khaleej to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Al Khaleej form

Al Khaleej have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, D, newest first.

Al Fayha form

Al Fayha have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Khaleej won 1, Al Fayha won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Al Fayha 3, Al Khaleej 1.

Our call

We expect Al Khaleej to score about 1.3 goals and Al Fayha about 1.3. That points to Al Khaleej to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.45.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al KhaleejAl Fayha
Games played2020
Wins35
Draws66
Losses119
Goals scored1725
Goals conceded3930
Scored per game0.81.3
Conceded per game1.91.5
Home record2W 3D 7L3W 3D 4L
Away record1W 3D 4L2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored50%55%
Over 2.5 goals55%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%2.12
Over 3.5 goals26%3.92
Both teams to score53%1.89
Al Khaleej or Draw65%1.55
Al Fayha or Draw64%1.57
Al Khaleej to win and Over 2.521%4.82
Al Fayha to win and Over 2.520%4.96
Al Khaleej clean sheet28%3.56
Al Fayha clean sheet28%3.63

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.4%
1-09.2%
0-19.1%
0-08.5%
2-18.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Khaleej vs Al Fayha?

Our prediction for Al Khaleej vs Al Fayha is Al Khaleej to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Al Khaleej vs Al Fayha?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect Al Khaleej to score 1.3 goals and Al Fayha 1.3.

Will both teams score in Al Khaleej vs Al Fayha?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Al Khaleej last 20 games and 11 of Al Fayha last 20.

How are Al Khaleej playing?

Al Khaleej have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Al Fayha playing?

Al Fayha have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Al Khaleej and Al Fayha last met?

It ended Al Fayha 3, Al Khaleej 1. In the last 2 meetings Al Khaleej won 1 and Al Fayha won 1.

What is the best bet for Al Khaleej vs Al Fayha?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.32, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Khaleej against Al Fayha. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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