Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Khaleej vs Al Hazem
Saudi Pro LeagueThu 29 Oct, 14:35 Saudi Arabia time

Al Khaleej vs Al Hazem prediction

Prince Mohammed Bin Fahd Stadium

Al KhaleejHome
1.35 : 1.31
expected goals
Al HazemAway
37%Al Khaleej
28%Draw
35%Al Hazem
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Khaleej vs Al Hazem is Al Khaleej to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction
Al Khaleej to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Al Khaleej 1.4, Al Hazem 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.631 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Khaleej 37%, the draw 28% and Al Hazem 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Khaleej took 9 points from their last 5 games and Al Hazem took 5 from 5. Al Khaleej come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Khaleej won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Al Hazem won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Khaleej score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.9. Al Hazem score 1.3 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Al Khaleej games and 10 of Al Hazem games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Khaleej won 2 and Al Hazem won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Al Khaleej 2, Al Hazem 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Khaleejrecent form+1%
  • Al Khaleejrest between games-5%
Al Khaleej form D W D D DAl Hazem form D D L W DHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Khaleej vs Al Hazem: Al Khaleej shade it

The big picture

Al Khaleej host Al Hazem in the Saudi Pro League on Thu 29 Oct, 14:35 at Prince Mohammed Bin Fahd Stadium. Our prediction for Al Khaleej vs Al Hazem is Al Khaleej to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Al Khaleej form

Al Khaleej have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, D, newest first.

Al Hazem form

Al Hazem have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Khaleej won 2, Al Hazem won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Al Khaleej 2, Al Hazem 1.

Our call

We expect Al Khaleej to score about 1.4 goals and Al Hazem about 1.3. That points to Al Khaleej to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.63.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al KhaleejAl Hazem
Games played2020
Wins57
Draws75
Losses88
Goals scored2125
Goals conceded3727
Scored per game1.11.3
Conceded per game1.91.4
Home record3W 3D 5L6W 2D 3L
Away record2W 4D 3L1W 3D 5L
Clean sheets25%20%
Both teams scored55%60%
Over 2.5 goals55%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.33
Over 2.5 goals50%2.01
Over 3.5 goals28%3.60
Both teams to score55%1.82
Al Khaleej or Draw65%1.55
Al Hazem or Draw63%1.59
Al Khaleej to win and Over 2.522%4.52
Al Hazem to win and Over 2.521%4.77
Al Khaleej clean sheet27%3.72
Al Hazem clean sheet26%3.86

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
1-08.7%
0-18.4%
2-18.3%
1-28.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Khaleej vs Al Hazem?

Our prediction for Al Khaleej vs Al Hazem is Al Khaleej to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Al Khaleej vs Al Hazem?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect Al Khaleej to score 1.4 goals and Al Hazem 1.3.

Will both teams score in Al Khaleej vs Al Hazem?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Al Khaleej last 20 games and 12 of Al Hazem last 20.

How are Al Khaleej playing?

Al Khaleej have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, D, newest first.

How are Al Hazem playing?

Al Hazem have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Al Khaleej and Al Hazem last met?

It ended Al Khaleej 2, Al Hazem 1. In the last 2 meetings Al Khaleej won 2 and Al Hazem won 0.

What is the best bet for Al Khaleej vs Al Hazem?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Khaleej against Al Hazem. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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