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Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej
Saudi Pro LeagueThu 5 Nov, 13:25 Saudi Arabia time

Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej prediction

Al-Hazm Club Stadium

Al KholoodHome
1.31 : 1.71
expected goals
Al KhaleejAway
29%Al Kholood
25%Draw
46%Al Khaleej
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej is Al Khaleej to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction
Al Khaleej to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Al Kholood 1.3, Al Khaleej 1.7
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Khaleej to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price 3.351 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Kholood 29%, the draw 25% and Al Khaleej 46%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Kholood took 3 points from their last 5 games and Al Khaleej took 8 from 5. Al Khaleej come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Kholood won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Al Khaleej won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Kholood score 1.1 goals a game and let in 2.0. Al Khaleej score 1.0 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Al Kholood games and 11 of Al Khaleej games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Kholood won 1 and Al Khaleej won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Al Kholood 2, Al Khaleej 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Kholoodrecent form-3%
  • Al Khaleejrecent form+3%
  • Al Kholoodrest between games-2%
  • Al Khaleejrest between games-2%
Al Kholood form D L L L WAl Khaleej form D W W D DHome edge in this league 12% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej: Al Khaleej are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Al Kholood host Al Khaleej in the Saudi Pro League on Thu 5 Nov, 13:25 at Al-Hazm Club Stadium. Our prediction for Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej is Al Khaleej to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Al Kholood form

Al Kholood have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Al Khaleej form

Al Khaleej have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Kholood won 1, Al Khaleej won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Al Kholood 2, Al Khaleej 2.

Our call

We expect Al Kholood to score about 1.3 goals and Al Khaleej about 1.7. That points to Al Khaleej to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Al Khaleej to win and Over 2.5 at 3.35.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al KholoodAl Khaleej
Games played2020
Wins44
Draws87
Losses89
Goals scored2120
Goals conceded4040
Scored per game1.11.0
Conceded per game2.02.0
Home record3W 4D 3L2W 3D 5L
Away record1W 4D 5L2W 4D 4L
Clean sheets15%25%
Both teams scored60%55%
Over 2.5 goals65%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.23
Over 2.5 goals58%1.72
Over 3.5 goals36%2.80
Both teams to score60%1.65
Al Kholood or Draw54%1.85
Al Khaleej or Draw71%1.41
Al Kholood to win and Over 2.519%5.27
Al Khaleej to win and Over 2.531%3.20
Al Kholood clean sheet18%5.50
Al Khaleej clean sheet27%3.72

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.6%
1-29.3%
0-17.7%
2-17.2%
0-27.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej?

Our prediction for Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej is Al Khaleej to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Al Kholood to score 1.3 goals and Al Khaleej 1.7.

Will both teams score in Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Al Kholood last 20 games and 11 of Al Khaleej last 20.

How are Al Kholood playing?

Al Kholood have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Al Khaleej playing?

Al Khaleej have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Al Kholood and Al Khaleej last met?

It ended Al Kholood 2, Al Khaleej 2. In the last 2 meetings Al Kholood won 1 and Al Khaleej won 0.

What is the best bet for Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Kholood against Al Khaleej. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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