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Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Nassr vs Al Kholood
Saudi Pro LeagueThu 29 Oct, 18:00 Saudi Arabia time

Al Nassr vs Al Kholood prediction

Al-Awwal Park

Al NassrHome
2.64 : 0.79
expected goals
Al KholoodAway
76%Al Nassr
15%Draw
8%Al Kholood
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Nassr vs Al Kholood is Al Nassr to win, with a 76% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Prediction
Al Nassr to win
Chance
76%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Al Nassr 2.6, Al Kholood 0.8
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.17
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Nassr to win and both score
34% chanceFair price 2.921 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Nassr 76%, the draw 15% and Al Kholood 8%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Nassr took 10 points from their last 5 games and Al Kholood took 4 from 5. Al Nassr come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Nassr won 9 of their last 10 games at home. Al Kholood won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Nassr score 2.6 goals a game and let in 0.8. Al Kholood score 1.1 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Al Nassr games and 13 of Al Kholood games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Nassr won 2 and Al Kholood won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Al Kholood 0, Al Nassr 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Nassrrecent form+1%
  • Al Kholoodrecent form-1%
Al Nassr form D W L D WAl Kholood form D L L W DHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Nassr vs Al Kholood: Al Nassr are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Al Nassr host Al Kholood in the Saudi Pro League on Thu 29 Oct, 18:00 at Al-Awwal Park. Our prediction for Al Nassr vs Al Kholood is Al Nassr to win, with a 76% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Al Nassr form

Al Nassr have 16 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Al Kholood form

Al Kholood have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Nassr won 2, Al Kholood won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Al Kholood 0, Al Nassr 3.

Our call

We expect Al Nassr to score about 2.6 goals and Al Kholood about 0.8. That points to Al Nassr to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17. Our bold bet is Al Nassr to win and both score at 2.92.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al NassrAl Kholood
Games played2020
Wins165
Draws28
Losses27
Goals scored5323
Goals conceded1738
Scored per game2.61.1
Conceded per game0.81.9
Home record9W 1D 0L3W 4D 2L
Away record7W 1D 2L2W 4D 5L
Clean sheets45%15%
Both teams scored55%65%
Over 2.5 goals70%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals86%1.16
Over 2.5 goals67%1.50
Over 3.5 goals45%2.23
Both teams to score51%1.96
Al Nassr or Draw92%1.09
Al Kholood or Draw24%4.24
Al Nassr to win and Over 2.557%1.76
Al Kholood to win and Over 2.55%19.25
Al Nassr clean sheet45%2.20
Al Kholood clean sheet7%14.01

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-011.3%
3-010.0%
2-18.9%
1-08.2%
3-17.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Saudi Pro League

Ronaldo Demands Lifetime Bans After Fans Taunt Ruben Neves

Cristiano Ronaldo wants lifetime stadium bans for fans who taunted Ruben Neves about his late Portugal teammate Diogo Jota.

13 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Nassr vs Al Kholood?

Our prediction for Al Nassr vs Al Kholood is Al Nassr to win, with a 76% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Al Nassr vs Al Kholood?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 3-0 and 2-1. We expect Al Nassr to score 2.6 goals and Al Kholood 0.8.

Will both teams score in Al Nassr vs Al Kholood?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Al Nassr last 20 games and 13 of Al Kholood last 20.

How are Al Nassr playing?

Al Nassr have 16 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Al Kholood playing?

Al Kholood have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Al Nassr and Al Kholood last met?

It ended Al Kholood 0, Al Nassr 3. In the last 2 meetings Al Nassr won 2 and Al Kholood won 0.

What is the best bet for Al Nassr vs Al Kholood?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.17, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Nassr against Al Kholood. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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