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Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Nassr vs Al Qadsiah
Saudi Pro LeagueFri 20 Nov, 20:00 Saudi Arabia time

Al Nassr vs Al Qadsiah prediction

Al NassrHome
1.47 : 1.69
expected goals
Al QadsiahAway
33%Al Nassr
25%Draw
42%Al Qadsiah
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Nassr vs Al Qadsiah is Al Qadsiah to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
Al Qadsiah to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Al Nassr 1.5, Al Qadsiah 1.7
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Qadsiah to win and Over 2.5
29% chanceFair price 3.401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Nassr 33%, the draw 25% and Al Qadsiah 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Nassr took 13 points from their last 5 games and Al Qadsiah took 12 from 5. Al Nassr come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Nassr won 10 of their last 11 games at home. Al Qadsiah won 9 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Nassr score 2.6 goals a game and let in 1.0. Al Qadsiah score 2.6 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Al Nassr games and 14 of Al Qadsiah games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Nassr won 0 and Al Qadsiah won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Al Qadsiah 3, Al Nassr 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Nassrrecent form+7%
  • Al Qadsiahrecent form+3%
Al Nassr form W W W W WAl Qadsiah form W W D L WHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Nassr vs Al Qadsiah: Al Qadsiah shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Al Nassr host Al Qadsiah in the Saudi Pro League on Fri 20 Nov, 20:00. Our prediction for Al Nassr vs Al Qadsiah is Al Qadsiah to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Al Nassr form

Al Nassr have 16 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 10 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Al Qadsiah form

Al Qadsiah have 14 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 9 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Nassr won 0, Al Qadsiah won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Al Qadsiah 3, Al Nassr 1.

Our call

We expect Al Nassr to score about 1.5 goals and Al Qadsiah about 1.7. That points to Al Qadsiah to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Al Qadsiah to win and Over 2.5 at 3.40.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al NassrAl Qadsiah
Games played2020
Wins1614
Draws23
Losses23
Goals scored5353
Goals conceded2021
Scored per game2.62.6
Conceded per game1.01.1
Home record10W 1D 0L5W 2D 2L
Away record6W 1D 2L9W 1D 1L
Clean sheets40%35%
Both teams scored60%60%
Over 2.5 goals70%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.64
Over 3.5 goals39%2.58
Both teams to score63%1.58
Al Nassr or Draw58%1.74
Al Qadsiah or Draw67%1.49
Al Nassr to win and Over 2.523%4.42
Al Qadsiah to win and Over 2.530%3.36
Al Nassr clean sheet18%5.42
Al Qadsiah clean sheet23%4.33

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.2%
1-28.9%
2-17.7%
0-16.6%
2-26.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Saudi Pro League

Ronaldo Rested for Al Nassr Asian Champions League Clash

Cristiano Ronaldo will miss Al Nassr's trip to Uzbekistan as manager Ange Postecoglou rests key players amid security concerns.

2 Nov 2026
Saudi Pro League

Debate Surrounds Ronaldo Goal Total After Contested Al Faisaly Strike

Cristiano Ronaldo sits on 985 career goals, but questions remain over whether his strike against Al Faisaly was actually an own goal.

30 Oct 2026
Saudi Pro League

Cristiano Ronaldo Hat Trick Leaves Him 15 Goals From 1,000 Milestone

Cristiano Ronaldo scored three goals in 15 minutes to help Al Nassr beat Al Kholood 5-3 on Thursday.

29 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Nassr vs Al Qadsiah?

Our prediction for Al Nassr vs Al Qadsiah is Al Qadsiah to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Al Nassr vs Al Qadsiah?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Al Nassr to score 1.5 goals and Al Qadsiah 1.7.

Will both teams score in Al Nassr vs Al Qadsiah?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Al Nassr last 20 games and 12 of Al Qadsiah last 20.

How are Al Nassr playing?

Al Nassr have 16 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 10 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Al Qadsiah playing?

Al Qadsiah have 14 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 9 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Al Nassr and Al Qadsiah last met?

It ended Al Qadsiah 3, Al Nassr 1. In the last 2 meetings Al Nassr won 0 and Al Qadsiah won 2.

What is the best bet for Al Nassr vs Al Qadsiah?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Nassr against Al Qadsiah. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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