Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Nassr vs Neom SC
Saudi Pro LeagueTue 20 Oct, 18:00 Saudi Arabia time

Al Nassr vs Neom SC prediction

Al-Awwal Park

Al NassrHome
1.71 : 0.79
expected goals
Neom SCAway
59%Al Nassr
25%Draw
16%Neom SC
Eagle safe pickAl Nassr or Draw
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Nassr vs Neom SC is Al Nassr to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Al Nassr or Draw at 1.23.

Prediction
Al Nassr to win
Chance
59%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Al Nassr 1.7, Neom SC 0.8
Best bet
Al Nassr or Draw at 1.23
Both teams to score
45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Al Nassr or Draw
81% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Nassr to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.181 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Nassr 59%, the draw 25% and Neom SC 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Nassr took 10 points from their last 5 games and Neom SC took 10 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Nassr won 9 of their last 10 games at home. Neom SC won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Nassr score 2.6 goals a game and let in 0.8. Neom SC score 1.5 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Al Nassr games and 9 of Neom SC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Nassr won 2 and Neom SC won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Al Nassr 1, Neom SC 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Al Nassr or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Nassrrecent form-1%
  • Neom SCrecent form+3%
  • Al Nassrrest between games-5%
  • Neom SCrest between games-5%
Al Nassr form D L D W LNeom SC form D W W W LHome edge in this league 12% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Nassr vs Neom SC: Al Nassr are favourites

The big picture

Al Nassr host Neom SC in the Saudi Pro League on Tue 20 Oct, 18:00 at Al-Awwal Park. Our prediction for Al Nassr vs Neom SC is Al Nassr to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Al Nassr or Draw at 1.23.

Al Nassr form

Al Nassr have 16 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Neom SC form

Neom SC have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Nassr won 2, Neom SC won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Al Nassr 1, Neom SC 0.

Our call

We expect Al Nassr to score about 1.7 goals and Neom SC about 0.8. That points to Al Nassr to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Al Nassr or Draw at 1.23. Our bold bet is Al Nassr to win and Over 2.5 at 3.18.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al NassrNeom SC
Games played2020
Wins168
Draws26
Losses26
Goals scored5330
Goals conceded1725
Scored per game2.61.5
Conceded per game0.81.3
Home record9W 1D 0L5W 3D 2L
Away record7W 1D 2L3W 3D 4L
Clean sheets45%20%
Both teams scored55%60%
Over 2.5 goals70%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%2.19
Over 3.5 goals24%4.13
Both teams to score45%2.20
Al Nassr or Draw84%1.20
Neom SC or Draw41%2.41
Al Nassr to win and Over 2.533%3.01
Neom SC to win and Over 2.58%12.45
Al Nassr clean sheet45%2.21
Neom SC clean sheet18%5.52

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.4%
2-012.0%
1-111.8%
2-19.5%
0-08.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Nassr vs Neom SC?

Our prediction for Al Nassr vs Neom SC is Al Nassr to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Al Nassr or Draw at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Al Nassr vs Neom SC?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Al Nassr to score 1.7 goals and Neom SC 0.8.

Will both teams score in Al Nassr vs Neom SC?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Al Nassr last 20 games and 12 of Neom SC last 20.

How are Al Nassr playing?

Al Nassr have 16 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Neom SC playing?

Neom SC have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Al Nassr and Neom SC last met?

It ended Al Nassr 1, Neom SC 0. In the last 2 meetings Al Nassr won 2 and Neom SC won 0.

What is the best bet for Al Nassr vs Neom SC?

Al Nassr or Draw at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Nassr against Neom SC. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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