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Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Qadsiah vs Abha
Saudi Pro LeagueFri 16 Oct, 13:15 Saudi Arabia time

Al Qadsiah vs Abha prediction

Prince Mohammed Bin Fahd Stadium

Al QadsiahHome
2.65 : 0.88
expected goals
AbhaAway
75%Al Qadsiah
16%Draw
10%Abha
Eagle safe pickAl Qadsiah draw no bet
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Qadsiah vs Abha is Al Qadsiah to win, with a 75% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Al Qadsiah draw no bet at 1.17.

Prediction
Al Qadsiah to win
Chance
75%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Al Qadsiah 2.6, Abha 0.9
Best bet
Al Qadsiah draw no bet at 1.17
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Al Qadsiah draw no bet
86% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Qadsiah to win and both score
35% chanceFair price 2.871 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Qadsiah 75%, the draw 16% and Abha 10%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Qadsiah took 13 points from their last 5 games and Abha took 2 from 5. Al Qadsiah come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Qadsiah won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Abha won 0 of their last 4 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Qadsiah score 2.6 goals a game and let in 1.1. Abha score 0.7 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Al Qadsiah games and 4 of Abha games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Al Qadsiah draw no bet has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Qadsiahrecent form+6%
  • Abharecent form-4%
  • Al Qadsiahrest between games-3%
Al Qadsiah form W D W W WAbha form D L L L DHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Qadsiah vs Abha: Al Qadsiah are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Al Qadsiah host Abha in the Saudi Pro League on Fri 16 Oct, 13:15 at Prince Mohammed Bin Fahd Stadium. Our prediction for Al Qadsiah vs Abha is Al Qadsiah to win, with a 75% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Al Qadsiah draw no bet at 1.17.

Al Qadsiah form

Al Qadsiah have 14 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Abha form

Abha have 0 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 7 games, with 5 goals scored and 13 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Al Qadsiah to score about 2.6 goals and Abha about 0.9. That points to Al Qadsiah to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Al Qadsiah draw no bet at 1.17. Our bold bet is Al Qadsiah to win and both score at 2.87.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al QadsiahAbha
Games played207
Wins140
Draws42
Losses25
Goals scored535
Goals conceded2313
Scored per game2.60.7
Conceded per game1.11.9
Home record6W 3D 1L0W 1D 2L
Away record8W 1D 1L0W 1D 3L
Clean sheets25%14%
Both teams scored70%57%
Over 2.5 goals70%57%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.15
Over 2.5 goals68%1.46
Over 3.5 goals47%2.13
Both teams to score55%1.83
Al Qadsiah or Draw90%1.11
Abha or Draw25%3.93
Al Qadsiah to win and Over 2.557%1.76
Abha to win and Over 2.56%15.78
Al Qadsiah clean sheet41%2.41
Abha clean sheet7%14.12

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-010.3%
3-09.1%
2-19.1%
3-18.0%
1-07.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Qadsiah vs Abha?

Our prediction for Al Qadsiah vs Abha is Al Qadsiah to win, with a 75% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Al Qadsiah draw no bet at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Al Qadsiah vs Abha?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 3-0 and 2-1. We expect Al Qadsiah to score 2.6 goals and Abha 0.9.

Will both teams score in Al Qadsiah vs Abha?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Al Qadsiah last 20 games and 4 of Abha last 7.

How are Al Qadsiah playing?

Al Qadsiah have 14 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Abha playing?

Abha have 0 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 7 games, with 5 goals scored and 13 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Al Qadsiah vs Abha?

Al Qadsiah draw no bet at 1.17, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Qadsiah against Abha. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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