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Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Qadsiah vs Al Fayha
Saudi Pro LeagueThu 5 Nov, 17:30 Saudi Arabia time

Al Qadsiah vs Al Fayha prediction

Prince Mohammed Bin Fahd Stadium

Al QadsiahHome
2.29 : 0.93
expected goals
Al FayhaAway
67%Al Qadsiah
19%Draw
13%Al Fayha
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Qadsiah vs Al Fayha is Al Qadsiah to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
Al Qadsiah to win
Chance
67%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Al Qadsiah 2.3, Al Fayha 0.9
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Qadsiah to win and both score
31% chanceFair price 3.201 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Qadsiah 67%, the draw 19% and Al Fayha 13%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Qadsiah took 10 points from their last 5 games and Al Fayha took 3 from 5. Al Qadsiah come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Qadsiah won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Al Fayha won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Qadsiah score 2.5 goals a game and let in 1.1. Al Fayha score 1.0 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Al Qadsiah games and 10 of Al Fayha games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Qadsiah won 2 and Al Fayha won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Al Fayha 1, Al Qadsiah 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Qadsiahrecent form+1%
  • Al Fayharecent form-3%
Al Qadsiah form D L W W DAl Fayha form D L L D DHome edge in this league 12% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Qadsiah vs Al Fayha: Al Qadsiah are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Al Qadsiah host Al Fayha in the Saudi Pro League on Thu 5 Nov, 17:30 at Prince Mohammed Bin Fahd Stadium. Our prediction for Al Qadsiah vs Al Fayha is Al Qadsiah to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Al Qadsiah form

Al Qadsiah have 14 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Al Fayha form

Al Fayha have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Qadsiah won 2, Al Fayha won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Al Fayha 1, Al Qadsiah 2.

Our call

We expect Al Qadsiah to score about 2.3 goals and Al Fayha about 0.9. That points to Al Qadsiah to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Al Qadsiah to win and both score at 3.20.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al QadsiahAl Fayha
Games played2020
Wins143
Draws37
Losses310
Goals scored5020
Goals conceded2332
Scored per game2.51.0
Conceded per game1.11.6
Home record6W 2D 2L3W 3D 4L
Away record8W 1D 1L0W 4D 6L
Clean sheets30%15%
Both teams scored65%55%
Over 2.5 goals70%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.19
Over 2.5 goals62%1.60
Over 3.5 goals40%2.48
Both teams to score55%1.82
Al Qadsiah or Draw87%1.15
Al Fayha or Draw33%3.07
Al Qadsiah to win and Over 2.548%2.07
Al Fayha to win and Over 2.58%11.92
Al Qadsiah clean sheet39%2.54
Al Fayha clean sheet10%9.88

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-010.5%
2-19.7%
1-19.0%
1-08.6%
3-08.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Qadsiah vs Al Fayha?

Our prediction for Al Qadsiah vs Al Fayha is Al Qadsiah to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Al Qadsiah vs Al Fayha?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-1. We expect Al Qadsiah to score 2.3 goals and Al Fayha 0.9.

Will both teams score in Al Qadsiah vs Al Fayha?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Al Qadsiah last 20 games and 11 of Al Fayha last 20.

How are Al Qadsiah playing?

Al Qadsiah have 14 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Al Fayha playing?

Al Fayha have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Al Qadsiah and Al Fayha last met?

It ended Al Fayha 1, Al Qadsiah 2. In the last 2 meetings Al Qadsiah won 2 and Al Fayha won 0.

What is the best bet for Al Qadsiah vs Al Fayha?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Qadsiah against Al Fayha. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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