Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Qadsiah vs Al Hilal
Saudi Pro LeagueFri 23 Oct, 18:00 Saudi Arabia time

Al Qadsiah vs Al Hilal prediction

Prince Mohammed Bin Fahd Stadium

Al QadsiahHome
1.26 : 2.19
expected goals
Al HilalAway
21%Al Qadsiah
21%Draw
58%Al Hilal
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Qadsiah vs Al Hilal is Al Hilal to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
Al Hilal to win
Chance
58%
Most likely score
1-2
Expected goals
Al Qadsiah 1.3, Al Hilal 2.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Hilal to win and Over 2.5
43% chanceFair price 2.311 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Qadsiah 21%, the draw 21% and Al Hilal 58%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Qadsiah took 13 points from their last 5 games and Al Hilal took 12 from 5. Al Qadsiah come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Qadsiah won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Al Hilal won 9 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Qadsiah score 2.7 goals a game and let in 1.1. Al Hilal score 2.8 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Al Qadsiah games and 12 of Al Hilal games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Qadsiah won 0 and Al Hilal won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Al Qadsiah 2, Al Hilal 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Qadsiahrecent form+4%
  • Al Hilalrecent form+3%
Al Qadsiah form D W W D WAl Hilal form D W W W LHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Qadsiah vs Al Hilal: Al Hilal are favourites

The big picture

Al Qadsiah host Al Hilal in the Saudi Pro League on Fri 23 Oct, 18:00 at Prince Mohammed Bin Fahd Stadium. Our prediction for Al Qadsiah vs Al Hilal is Al Hilal to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Al Qadsiah form

Al Qadsiah have 14 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Al Hilal form

Al Hilal have 16 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 9 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Qadsiah won 0, Al Hilal won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Al Qadsiah 2, Al Hilal 2.

Our call

We expect Al Qadsiah to score about 1.3 goals and Al Hilal about 2.2. That points to Al Hilal to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Al Hilal to win and Over 2.5 at 2.31.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al QadsiahAl Hilal
Games played2020
Wins1416
Draws43
Losses21
Goals scored5455
Goals conceded2115
Scored per game2.72.8
Conceded per game1.10.8
Home record6W 3D 1L7W 1D 1L
Away record8W 1D 1L9W 2D 0L
Clean sheets30%55%
Both teams scored65%40%
Over 2.5 goals70%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals86%1.16
Over 2.5 goals67%1.49
Over 3.5 goals45%2.21
Both teams to score64%1.56
Al Qadsiah or Draw42%2.37
Al Hilal or Draw79%1.26
Al Qadsiah to win and Over 2.515%6.74
Al Hilal to win and Over 2.544%2.28
Al Qadsiah clean sheet11%8.91
Al Hilal clean sheet28%3.54

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-29.6%
1-19.3%
0-27.6%
1-37.0%
0-16.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Qadsiah vs Al Hilal?

Our prediction for Al Qadsiah vs Al Hilal is Al Hilal to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Al Qadsiah vs Al Hilal?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-2. We expect Al Qadsiah to score 1.3 goals and Al Hilal 2.2.

Will both teams score in Al Qadsiah vs Al Hilal?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Al Qadsiah last 20 games and 8 of Al Hilal last 20.

How are Al Qadsiah playing?

Al Qadsiah have 14 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Al Hilal playing?

Al Hilal have 16 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 9 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Al Qadsiah and Al Hilal last met?

It ended Al Qadsiah 2, Al Hilal 2. In the last 2 meetings Al Qadsiah won 0 and Al Hilal won 0.

What is the best bet for Al Qadsiah vs Al Hilal?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Qadsiah against Al Hilal. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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