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Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Riyadh vs Al Hazem
Saudi Pro LeagueFri 20 Nov, 20:00 Saudi Arabia time

Al Riyadh vs Al Hazem prediction

Al RiyadhHome
1.32 : 1.25
expected goals
Al HazemAway
38%Al Riyadh
28%Draw
34%Al Hazem
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al Hazem is Al Riyadh to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Al Riyadh to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Al Riyadh 1.3, Al Hazem 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.461 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Riyadh 38%, the draw 28% and Al Hazem 34%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Riyadh took 7 points from their last 5 games and Al Hazem took 2 from 5. Al Riyadh come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Riyadh won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Al Hazem won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Riyadh score 1.2 goals a game and let in 2.0. Al Hazem score 1.1 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Al Riyadh games and 9 of Al Hazem games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Riyadh won 0 and Al Hazem won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Al Hazem 2, Al Riyadh 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Riyadhrecent form+1%
  • Al Hazemrecent form-3%
Al Riyadh form D W L D WAl Hazem form D D L L DHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Riyadh vs Al Hazem: Al Riyadh shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Al Riyadh host Al Hazem in the Saudi Pro League on Fri 20 Nov, 20:00. Our prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al Hazem is Al Riyadh to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Al Riyadh form

Al Riyadh have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, W, newest first.

Al Hazem form

Al Hazem have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Riyadh won 0, Al Hazem won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Al Hazem 2, Al Riyadh 1.

Our call

We expect Al Riyadh to score about 1.3 goals and Al Hazem about 1.3. That points to Al Riyadh to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.46.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al RiyadhAl Hazem
Games played2020
Wins75
Draws56
Losses89
Goals scored2423
Goals conceded4030
Scored per game1.21.1
Conceded per game2.01.5
Home record6W 1D 3L4W 3D 3L
Away record1W 4D 5L1W 3D 6L
Clean sheets25%20%
Both teams scored50%55%
Over 2.5 goals55%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.36
Over 2.5 goals47%2.12
Over 3.5 goals26%3.90
Both teams to score53%1.89
Al Riyadh or Draw66%1.52
Al Hazem or Draw62%1.60
Al Riyadh to win and Over 2.522%4.64
Al Hazem to win and Over 2.519%5.14
Al Riyadh clean sheet29%3.48
Al Hazem clean sheet27%3.74

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.4%
1-09.4%
0-18.8%
0-08.5%
2-18.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Riyadh vs Al Hazem?

Our prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al Hazem is Al Riyadh to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al Hazem?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect Al Riyadh to score 1.3 goals and Al Hazem 1.3.

Will both teams score in Al Riyadh vs Al Hazem?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Al Riyadh last 20 games and 11 of Al Hazem last 20.

How are Al Riyadh playing?

Al Riyadh have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, W, newest first.

How are Al Hazem playing?

Al Hazem have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Al Riyadh and Al Hazem last met?

It ended Al Hazem 2, Al Riyadh 1. In the last 2 meetings Al Riyadh won 0 and Al Hazem won 2.

What is the best bet for Al Riyadh vs Al Hazem?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Riyadh against Al Hazem. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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