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Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal
Saudi Pro LeagueFri 16 Oct, 15:00 Saudi Arabia time

Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal prediction

Al-Shabab Club Stadium

Al RiyadhHome
0.66 : 2.50
expected goals
Al HilalAway
7%Al Riyadh
16%Draw
77%Al Hilal
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal is Al Hilal to win, with a 77% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
Al Hilal to win
Chance
77%
Most likely score
0-2
Expected goals
Al Riyadh 0.7, Al Hilal 2.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Hilal to win and both score
30% chanceFair price 3.341 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Riyadh 7%, the draw 16% and Al Hilal 77%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Riyadh took 8 points from their last 5 games and Al Hilal took 12 from 5. Al Hilal come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Riyadh won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Al Hilal won 9 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Riyadh score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.9. Al Hilal score 2.6 and let in 0.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Al Riyadh games and 11 of Al Hilal games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Al Riyadh won 0 and Al Hilal won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Al Riyadh 1, Al Hilal 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Riyadhrecent form+1%
  • Al Hilalrecent form+4%
Al Riyadh form W D L W DAl Hilal form W W L W WHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal: Al Hilal are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Al Riyadh host Al Hilal in the Saudi Pro League on Fri 16 Oct, 15:00 at Al-Shabab Club Stadium. Our prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal is Al Hilal to win, with a 77% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Al Riyadh form

Al Riyadh have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, D, newest first.

Al Hilal form

Al Hilal have 15 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 14 conceded. Away from home they have 9 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Al Riyadh won 0, Al Hilal won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Al Riyadh 1, Al Hilal 1.

Our call

We expect Al Riyadh to score about 0.7 goals and Al Hilal about 2.5. That points to Al Hilal to win, with 0-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Al Hilal to win and both score at 3.34.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al RiyadhAl Hilal
Games played2020
Wins715
Draws44
Losses91
Goals scored2453
Goals conceded3814
Scored per game1.22.6
Conceded per game1.90.7
Home record5W 1D 3L6W 2D 1L
Away record2W 3D 6L9W 2D 0L
Clean sheets30%55%
Both teams scored45%40%
Over 2.5 goals55%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.63
Over 3.5 goals39%2.57
Both teams to score45%2.23
Al Riyadh or Draw23%4.35
Al Hilal or Draw93%1.08
Al Riyadh to win and Over 2.54%24.63
Al Hilal to win and Over 2.554%1.86
Al Riyadh clean sheet8%12.16
Al Hilal clean sheet52%1.94

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-213.2%
0-311.0%
0-110.2%
1-28.8%
1-17.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Saudi Pro League

Ronaldo Demands Lifetime Bans After Fans Taunt Ruben Neves

Cristiano Ronaldo wants lifetime stadium bans for fans who taunted Ruben Neves about his late Portugal teammate Diogo Jota.

13 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal?

Our prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal is Al Hilal to win, with a 77% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal?

0-2 is the most likely score, followed by 0-3 and 0-1. We expect Al Riyadh to score 0.7 goals and Al Hilal 2.5.

Will both teams score in Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Al Riyadh last 20 games and 8 of Al Hilal last 20.

How are Al Riyadh playing?

Al Riyadh have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Al Hilal playing?

Al Hilal have 15 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 14 conceded. Away from home they have 9 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Al Riyadh and Al Hilal last met?

It ended Al Riyadh 1, Al Hilal 1. In the last 1 meeting Al Riyadh won 0 and Al Hilal won 0.

What is the best bet for Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Riyadh against Al Hilal. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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