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Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah
Saudi Pro LeagueThu 29 Oct, 18:00 Saudi Arabia time

Al Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah prediction

Al-Shabab Club Stadium

Al RiyadhHome
0.77 : 2.35
expected goals
Al QadsiahAway
10%Al Riyadh
18%Draw
72%Al Qadsiah
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah is Al Qadsiah to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
Al Qadsiah to win
Chance
72%
Most likely score
0-2
Expected goals
Al Riyadh 0.8, Al Qadsiah 2.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Qadsiah to win and both score
29% chanceFair price 3.391 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Riyadh 10%, the draw 18% and Al Qadsiah 72%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Riyadh took 8 points from their last 5 games and Al Qadsiah took 13 from 5. Al Qadsiah come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Riyadh won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Al Qadsiah won 8 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Riyadh score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.9. Al Qadsiah score 2.6 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Al Riyadh games and 14 of Al Qadsiah games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Riyadh won 0 and Al Qadsiah won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Al Riyadh 0, Al Qadsiah 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Riyadhrecent form+1%
  • Al Qadsiahrecent form+3%
Al Riyadh form D W D L WAl Qadsiah form D D W W DHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah: Al Qadsiah are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Al Riyadh host Al Qadsiah in the Saudi Pro League on Thu 29 Oct, 18:00 at Al-Shabab Club Stadium. Our prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah is Al Qadsiah to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Al Riyadh form

Al Riyadh have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Al Qadsiah form

Al Qadsiah have 14 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 52 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Riyadh won 0, Al Qadsiah won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Al Riyadh 0, Al Qadsiah 4.

Our call

We expect Al Riyadh to score about 0.8 goals and Al Qadsiah about 2.4. That points to Al Qadsiah to win, with 0-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Al Qadsiah to win and both score at 3.39.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al RiyadhAl Qadsiah
Games played2020
Wins614
Draws54
Losses92
Goals scored2352
Goals conceded3922
Scored per game1.12.6
Conceded per game1.91.1
Home record5W 1D 3L6W 3D 1L
Away record1W 4D 6L8W 1D 1L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored50%70%
Over 2.5 goals55%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.66
Over 3.5 goals38%2.64
Both teams to score49%2.04
Al Riyadh or Draw28%3.59
Al Qadsiah or Draw90%1.11
Al Riyadh to win and Over 2.56%17.33
Al Qadsiah to win and Over 2.550%2.00
Al Riyadh clean sheet10%10.45
Al Qadsiah clean sheet46%2.16

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-212.2%
0-19.9%
0-39.6%
1-29.4%
1-18.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah?

Our prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah is Al Qadsiah to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah?

0-2 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-3. We expect Al Riyadh to score 0.8 goals and Al Qadsiah 2.4.

Will both teams score in Al Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Al Riyadh last 20 games and 14 of Al Qadsiah last 20.

How are Al Riyadh playing?

Al Riyadh have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Al Qadsiah playing?

Al Qadsiah have 14 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 52 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Al Riyadh and Al Qadsiah last met?

It ended Al Riyadh 0, Al Qadsiah 4. In the last 2 meetings Al Riyadh won 0 and Al Qadsiah won 2.

What is the best bet for Al Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Riyadh against Al Qadsiah. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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