Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Riyadh vs Al Taawoun
Saudi Pro LeagueSat 24 Oct, 18:00 Saudi Arabia time

Al Riyadh vs Al Taawoun prediction

Al-Shabab Club Stadium

Al RiyadhHome
1.27 : 1.25
expected goals
Al TaawounAway
36%Al Riyadh
28%Draw
35%Al Taawoun
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al Taawoun is Al Riyadh to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Al Riyadh to win
Chance
36%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Al Riyadh 1.3, Al Taawoun 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.381 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Riyadh 36%, the draw 28% and Al Taawoun 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Riyadh took 8 points from their last 5 games and Al Taawoun took 1 from 5. Al Riyadh come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Riyadh won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Al Taawoun won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Riyadh score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.9. Al Taawoun score 1.1 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Al Riyadh games and 11 of Al Taawoun games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Riyadh won 0 and Al Taawoun won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Al Taawoun 1, Al Riyadh 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Riyadhrecent form+1%
  • Al Taawounrecent form-4%
Al Riyadh form D W D L WAl Taawoun form D L D L LHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Riyadh vs Al Taawoun: Al Riyadh shade it

The big picture

Al Riyadh host Al Taawoun in the Saudi Pro League on Sat 24 Oct, 18:00 at Al-Shabab Club Stadium. Our prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al Taawoun is Al Riyadh to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Al Riyadh form

Al Riyadh have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Al Taawoun form

Al Taawoun have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Riyadh won 0, Al Taawoun won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Al Taawoun 1, Al Riyadh 1.

Our call

We expect Al Riyadh to score about 1.3 goals and Al Taawoun about 1.3. That points to Al Riyadh to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.38.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al RiyadhAl Taawoun
Games played2020
Wins63
Draws58
Losses99
Goals scored2322
Goals conceded3934
Scored per game1.11.1
Conceded per game1.91.7
Home record5W 1D 3L1W 5D 4L
Away record1W 4D 6L2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets25%15%
Both teams scored50%60%
Over 2.5 goals55%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.38
Over 2.5 goals46%2.17
Over 3.5 goals25%4.06
Both teams to score52%1.92
Al Riyadh or Draw65%1.54
Al Taawoun or Draw64%1.57
Al Riyadh to win and Over 2.520%4.90
Al Taawoun to win and Over 2.520%5.10
Al Riyadh clean sheet29%3.47
Al Taawoun clean sheet28%3.57

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.5%
1-09.5%
0-19.3%
0-08.8%
2-18.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Riyadh vs Al Taawoun?

Our prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al Taawoun is Al Riyadh to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al Taawoun?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect Al Riyadh to score 1.3 goals and Al Taawoun 1.3.

Will both teams score in Al Riyadh vs Al Taawoun?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Al Riyadh last 20 games and 12 of Al Taawoun last 20.

How are Al Riyadh playing?

Al Riyadh have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Al Taawoun playing?

Al Taawoun have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Al Riyadh and Al Taawoun last met?

It ended Al Taawoun 1, Al Riyadh 1. In the last 2 meetings Al Riyadh won 0 and Al Taawoun won 1.

What is the best bet for Al Riyadh vs Al Taawoun?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Riyadh against Al Taawoun. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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