EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Shabab vs Al Ahli
Saudi Pro LeagueFri 30 Oct, 18:00 Saudi Arabia time

Al Shabab vs Al Ahli prediction

Al-Shabab Club Stadium

Al ShababHome
1.35 : 2.13
expected goals
Al AhliAway
24%Al Shabab
22%Draw
55%Al Ahli
Eagle safe pickAl Ahli or Draw
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Shabab vs Al Ahli is Al Ahli to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Al Ahli or Draw at 1.31.

Prediction
Al Ahli to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
1-2
Expected goals
Al Shabab 1.4, Al Ahli 2.1
Best bet
Al Ahli or Draw at 1.31
Both teams to score
66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Al Ahli or Draw
77% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Ahli to win and Over 2.5
43% chanceFair price 2.331 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Shabab 24%, the draw 22% and Al Ahli 55%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Shabab took 5 points from their last 5 games and Al Ahli took 12 from 5. Al Ahli come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Shabab won 3 of their last 12 games at home. Al Ahli won 6 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Shabab score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.9. Al Ahli score 2.5 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Al Shabab games and 16 of Al Ahli games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Shabab won 0 and Al Ahli won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Al Shabab 2, Al Ahli 5.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Al Ahli or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Shababrecent form-1%
  • Al Ahlirecent form+1%
  • Al Shababrest between games-5%
  • Al Ahlirest between games-5%
Al Shabab form D W D L LAl Ahli form D W W L DHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Shabab vs Al Ahli: Al Ahli are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Al Shabab host Al Ahli in the Saudi Pro League on Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 at Al-Shabab Club Stadium. Our prediction for Al Shabab vs Al Ahli is Al Ahli to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Al Ahli or Draw at 1.31.

Al Shabab form

Al Shabab have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Al Ahli form

Al Ahli have 14 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 49 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Shabab won 0, Al Ahli won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Al Shabab 2, Al Ahli 5.

Our call

We expect Al Shabab to score about 1.4 goals and Al Ahli about 2.1. That points to Al Ahli to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Al Ahli or Draw at 1.31. Our bold bet is Al Ahli to win and Over 2.5 at 2.33.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al ShababAl Ahli
Games played2020
Wins314
Draws91
Losses85
Goals scored2849
Goals conceded3722
Scored per game1.42.5
Conceded per game1.91.1
Home record3W 4D 5L8W 0D 0L
Away record0W 5D 3L6W 1D 5L
Clean sheets20%40%
Both teams scored70%50%
Over 2.5 goals55%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.15
Over 2.5 goals68%1.48
Over 3.5 goals46%2.18
Both teams to score66%1.52
Al Shabab or Draw45%2.20
Al Ahli or Draw76%1.31
Al Shabab to win and Over 2.517%5.85
Al Ahli to win and Over 2.542%2.40
Al Shabab clean sheet12%8.38
Al Ahli clean sheet26%3.88

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-29.4%
1-19.4%
0-27.0%
1-36.7%
2-26.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Shabab vs Al Ahli?

Our prediction for Al Shabab vs Al Ahli is Al Ahli to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Al Ahli or Draw at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Al Shabab vs Al Ahli?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-2. We expect Al Shabab to score 1.4 goals and Al Ahli 2.1.

Will both teams score in Al Shabab vs Al Ahli?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Al Shabab last 20 games and 10 of Al Ahli last 20.

How are Al Shabab playing?

Al Shabab have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Al Ahli playing?

Al Ahli have 14 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 49 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Al Shabab and Al Ahli last met?

It ended Al Shabab 2, Al Ahli 5. In the last 2 meetings Al Shabab won 0 and Al Ahli won 1.

What is the best bet for Al Shabab vs Al Ahli?

Al Ahli or Draw at 1.31, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Shabab against Al Ahli. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.