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Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Shabab vs Al Ettifaq
Saudi Pro LeagueFri 20 Nov, 20:00 Saudi Arabia time

Al Shabab vs Al Ettifaq prediction

Al ShababHome
1.57 : 1.83
expected goals
Al EttifaqAway
33%Al Shabab
24%Draw
44%Al Ettifaq
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Shabab vs Al Ettifaq is Al Ettifaq to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Prediction
Al Ettifaq to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Al Shabab 1.6, Al Ettifaq 1.8
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.17
Both teams to score
67%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
86% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Ettifaq to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 3.121 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Shabab 33%, the draw 24% and Al Ettifaq 44%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Shabab took 11 points from their last 5 games and Al Ettifaq took 8 from 5. Al Shabab come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Shabab won 4 of their last 12 games at home. Al Ettifaq won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Shabab score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.6. Al Ettifaq score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Al Shabab games and 11 of Al Ettifaq games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Shabab won 0 and Al Ettifaq won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Al Ettifaq 1, Al Shabab 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Shababrecent form+4%
  • Al Ettifaqrecent form+1%
Al Shabab form W W D W DAl Ettifaq form D W L W DHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Shabab vs Al Ettifaq: Al Ettifaq shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Al Shabab host Al Ettifaq in the Saudi Pro League on Fri 20 Nov, 20:00. Our prediction for Al Shabab vs Al Ettifaq is Al Ettifaq to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Al Shabab form

Al Shabab have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, D, newest first.

Al Ettifaq form

Al Ettifaq have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Shabab won 0, Al Ettifaq won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Al Ettifaq 1, Al Shabab 1.

Our call

We expect Al Shabab to score about 1.6 goals and Al Ettifaq about 1.8. That points to Al Ettifaq to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17. Our bold bet is Al Ettifaq to win and Over 2.5 at 3.12.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al ShababAl Ettifaq
Games played2020
Wins58
Draws86
Losses76
Goals scored3333
Goals conceded3328
Scored per game1.61.6
Conceded per game1.61.4
Home record4W 4D 4L2W 3D 5L
Away record1W 4D 3L6W 3D 1L
Clean sheets20%35%
Both teams scored70%55%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals86%1.16
Over 2.5 goals66%1.51
Over 3.5 goals44%2.26
Both teams to score67%1.49
Al Shabab or Draw56%1.77
Al Ettifaq or Draw67%1.49
Al Shabab to win and Over 2.524%4.16
Al Ettifaq to win and Over 2.532%3.08
Al Shabab clean sheet16%6.25
Al Ettifaq clean sheet21%4.82

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.1%
1-28.8%
2-17.5%
2-26.9%
0-25.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Shabab vs Al Ettifaq?

Our prediction for Al Shabab vs Al Ettifaq is Al Ettifaq to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Al Shabab vs Al Ettifaq?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Al Shabab to score 1.6 goals and Al Ettifaq 1.8.

Will both teams score in Al Shabab vs Al Ettifaq?

Both teams to score has a 67% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Al Shabab last 20 games and 11 of Al Ettifaq last 20.

How are Al Shabab playing?

Al Shabab have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, D, newest first.

How are Al Ettifaq playing?

Al Ettifaq have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Al Shabab and Al Ettifaq last met?

It ended Al Ettifaq 1, Al Shabab 1. In the last 2 meetings Al Shabab won 0 and Al Ettifaq won 0.

What is the best bet for Al Shabab vs Al Ettifaq?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.17, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Shabab against Al Ettifaq. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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