Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun
Saudi Pro LeagueSun 11 Oct, 18:00 Saudi Arabia time

Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun prediction

Al-Shabab Club Stadium

Al ShababHome
1.50 : 1.99
expected goals
Al TaawounAway
29%Al Shabab
23%Draw
49%Al Taawoun
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun is Al Taawoun to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
Al Taawoun to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Al Shabab 1.5, Al Taawoun 2.0
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
68%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Al Taawoun to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price 2.851 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Shabab 29%, the draw 23% and Al Taawoun 49%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Shabab took 3 points from their last 5 games and Al Taawoun took 2 from 5. Al Shabab come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Shabab won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Al Taawoun won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Shabab score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.9. Al Taawoun score 1.2 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Al Shabab games and 11 of Al Taawoun games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Shabab won 0 and Al Taawoun won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Al Shabab 1, Al Taawoun 5.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Al Shababrecent form-3%
  • Al Taawounrecent form-4%
Al Shabab form D L L D DAl Taawoun form D L L D LHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun: Al Taawoun are favourites

The big picture

Al Shabab host Al Taawoun in the Saudi Pro League on Sun 11 Oct, 18:00 at Al-Shabab Club Stadium. Our prediction for Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun is Al Taawoun to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Al Shabab form

Al Shabab have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Al Taawoun form

Al Taawoun have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Shabab won 0, Al Taawoun won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Al Shabab 1, Al Taawoun 5.

Our call

We expect Al Shabab to score about 1.5 goals and Al Taawoun about 2.0. That points to Al Taawoun to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Al Taawoun to win and Over 2.5 at 2.85.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Al ShababAl Taawoun
Games played2020
Wins43
Draws88
Losses89
Goals scored2924
Goals conceded3734
Scored per game1.41.2
Conceded per game1.91.7
Home record3W 3D 5L1W 5D 5L
Away record1W 5D 3L2W 3D 4L
Clean sheets15%15%
Both teams scored75%65%
Over 2.5 goals55%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.15
Over 2.5 goals68%1.48
Over 3.5 goals46%2.17
Both teams to score68%1.48
Al Shabab or Draw51%1.94
Al Taawoun or Draw71%1.40
Al Shabab to win and Over 2.521%4.72
Al Taawoun to win and Over 2.537%2.71
Al Shabab clean sheet14%7.28
Al Taawoun clean sheet22%4.48

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.7%
1-29.1%
2-16.8%
2-26.8%
0-26.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun?

Our prediction for Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun is Al Taawoun to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Al Shabab to score 1.5 goals and Al Taawoun 2.0.

Will both teams score in Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun?

Both teams to score has a 68% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Al Shabab last 20 games and 13 of Al Taawoun last 20.

How are Al Shabab playing?

Al Shabab have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, D, newest first.

How are Al Taawoun playing?

Al Taawoun have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Al Shabab and Al Taawoun last met?

It ended Al Shabab 1, Al Taawoun 5. In the last 2 meetings Al Shabab won 0 and Al Taawoun won 2.

What is the best bet for Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Al Shabab against Al Taawoun. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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