EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › United States › Alabama Crimson Tide vs Tennessee Volunteers
College FootballSat 17 Oct, 15:30 United States time

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Tennessee Volunteers prediction

Neyland Stadium

Alabama Crimson TideAway
28.8 : 27.7
projected points
Tennessee VolunteersHome
56%Alabama
44%Tennessee
Eagle safe pickTennessee +11.5
-299

Quick answer

Our prediction for Alabama Crimson Tide vs Tennessee Volunteers is Alabama Crimson Tide to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Alabama Crimson Tide 28.8 and Tennessee Volunteers 27.7. Our best bet is Tennessee +11.5 at -299.

Prediction
Alabama Crimson Tide to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
Alabama Crimson Tide 29, Tennessee Volunteers 28
Projected total
56.5 points
Best bet
Tennessee +11.5 at -299

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Tennessee +11.5
75% chanceFair price -2991 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tennessee Volunteers 44% and Alabama Crimson Tide 56%. The bookmakers agree and make Alabama Crimson Tide the favourite at -120.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tennessee Volunteers won 4 of their last 5 and Alabama Crimson Tide won 5 of their last 5. Alabama Crimson Tide come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tennessee Volunteers won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Alabama Crimson Tide won 7 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Tennessee Volunteers score 36.5 points a game and let in 25.5. Alabama Crimson Tide score 33.4 and let in 20.1. Their recent games average 62.0 and 53.4 points in total, and the market line is 56.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Tennessee Volunteers won 0 and Alabama Crimson Tide won 1. The last one ended Alabama Crimson Tide 37, Tennessee Volunteers 20.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Tennessee +11.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Tennesseeteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Tennessee Volunteers: Alabama Crimson Tide shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Tennessee Volunteers host Alabama Crimson Tide in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 15:30 at Neyland Stadium. Our prediction for Alabama Crimson Tide vs Tennessee Volunteers is Alabama Crimson Tide to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Alabama Crimson Tide 28.8 and Tennessee Volunteers 27.7. Our best bet is Tennessee +11.5 at -299.

Tennessee Volunteers form

Tennessee Volunteers have 10 wins and 6 losses in their last 16 games, with 584 points scored and 408 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Alabama Crimson Tide form

Alabama Crimson Tide have 15 wins and 3 losses in their last 18 games, with 601 points scored and 361 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Tennessee Volunteers won 0, Alabama Crimson Tide won 1. Last time out it finished Alabama Crimson Tide 37, Tennessee Volunteers 20.

Our call

We expect Alabama Crimson Tide to score about 28.8 points and Tennessee Volunteers about 27.7. That points to Alabama Crimson Tide to win. Our safest bet is Tennessee +11.5 at -299.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

TennesseeAlabama
Games played1618
Wins1015
Losses63
Points scored584601
Points conceded408361
Scored per game36.533.4
Conceded per game25.520.1
Home record6W 4L8W 2L
Away record4W 2L7W 1L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Tennessee to win44%+125+100-11.2%
Alabama to win49%+105-120-10.4%
Tennessee +1.547%+111-110-9.4%
Alabama -1.546%+118-110-12.5%
Over 56.5 points47%+115-108-10.3%
Under 56.5 points47%+114-112-11.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Tennessee spreadCoversFair
Tennessee -5.534%+195
Tennessee -1.543%+130
Tennessee +1.551%-104
Tennessee +4.558%-140
Tennessee +8.568%-210
Total pointsOverUnder
49.567%33%
53.557%43%
56.550%50%
59.543%57%
63.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Tennessee +3.5 wins if Tennessee win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Huge Blow for Tennessee as All-SEC Guard Wendell Moe Jr. Out for Season

Tennessee offensive guard Wendell Moe Jr. is expected to miss the rest of the season with a lower body injury suffered in the loss to Texas.

1 Oct 2026
College Football

Sarkisian Prepares for Headset Silence With Trump Attending Texas vs Tennessee

Texas coach Steve Sarkisian is preparing for sudden headset blackouts when President Donald Trump attends Saturday's game against Tennessee.

24 Sept 2026
College Football

Johnny Knoxville Set as Guest Picker for Week 4 Clash in Tennessee

College GameDay is heading to Knoxville for a massive matchup between Texas and Tennessee, featuring actor Johnny Knoxville as the guest picker.

24 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Alabama Crimson Tide vs Tennessee Volunteers?

Our prediction for Alabama Crimson Tide vs Tennessee Volunteers is Alabama Crimson Tide to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Alabama Crimson Tide 28.8 and Tennessee Volunteers 27.7. Our best bet is Tennessee +11.5 at -299.

What is the projected score for Alabama Crimson Tide vs Tennessee Volunteers?

We project Alabama Crimson Tide 28.8 and Tennessee Volunteers 27.7, about 56.5 points in total.

How are Tennessee Volunteers playing?

Tennessee Volunteers have 10 wins and 6 losses in their last 16 games, with 584 points scored and 408 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Alabama Crimson Tide playing?

Alabama Crimson Tide have 15 wins and 3 losses in their last 18 games, with 601 points scored and 361 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Tennessee Volunteers and Alabama Crimson Tide last met?

It ended Alabama Crimson Tide 37, Tennessee Volunteers 20. In the last 1 meeting Tennessee Volunteers won 0 and Alabama Crimson Tide won 1.

What is the best bet for Alabama Crimson Tide vs Tennessee Volunteers?

Tennessee +11.5 at -299, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tennessee against Alabama. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.