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Predictions › Turkey › Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor
Super LigFri 23 Oct, 17:00 Turkey time

Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor prediction

Kirbiyik Holding Stadyumu

AlanyasporHome
1.33 : 0.75
expected goals
KocaelisporAway
50%Alanyaspor
30%Draw
20%Kocaelispor
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor is Alanyaspor to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
Alanyaspor to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Alanyaspor 1.3, Kocaelispor 0.8
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
40%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
16% chanceFair price 6.291 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Alanyaspor 50%, the draw 30% and Kocaelispor 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Alanyaspor took 8 points from their last 5 games and Kocaelispor took 9 from 5. Kocaelispor come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Alanyaspor won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Kocaelispor won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Alanyaspor score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. Kocaelispor score 0.8 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Alanyaspor games and 5 of Kocaelispor games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Alanyaspor won 1 and Kocaelispor won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Alanyaspor 5, Kocaelispor 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Alanyasporrecent form+1%
  • Kocaelisporrecent form+3%
  • Kocaelisporrest between games-2%
Alanyaspor form D W D W LKocaelispor form D W L W WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor: Alanyaspor are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Alanyaspor host Kocaelispor in the Super Lig on Fri 23 Oct, 17:00 at Kirbiyik Holding Stadyumu. Our prediction for Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor is Alanyaspor to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Alanyaspor form

Alanyaspor have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, L, newest first.

Kocaelispor form

Kocaelispor have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Alanyaspor won 1, Kocaelispor won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Alanyaspor 5, Kocaelispor 0.

Our call

We expect Alanyaspor to score about 1.3 goals and Kocaelispor about 0.8. That points to Alanyaspor to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 6.29.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AlanyasporKocaelispor
Games played2020
Wins66
Draws84
Losses610
Goals scored2716
Goals conceded2322
Scored per game1.40.8
Conceded per game1.11.1
Home record4W 4D 2L4W 2D 3L
Away record2W 4D 4L2W 2D 7L
Clean sheets30%30%
Both teams scored65%30%
Over 2.5 goals55%25%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals62%1.61
Over 2.5 goals35%2.90
Over 3.5 goals16%6.34
Both teams to score40%2.53
Alanyaspor or Draw80%1.25
Kocaelispor or Draw50%2.00
Alanyaspor to win and Over 2.523%4.37
Kocaelispor to win and Over 2.58%12.27
Alanyaspor clean sheet47%2.11
Kocaelispor clean sheet26%3.79

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-015.9%
0-013.2%
1-113.2%
2-011.1%
0-18.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Our prediction for Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor is Alanyaspor to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect Alanyaspor to score 1.3 goals and Kocaelispor 0.8.

Will both teams score in Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Both teams to score has a 40% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Alanyaspor last 20 games and 6 of Kocaelispor last 20.

How are Alanyaspor playing?

Alanyaspor have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, L, newest first.

How are Kocaelispor playing?

Kocaelispor have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Alanyaspor and Kocaelispor last met?

It ended Alanyaspor 5, Kocaelispor 0. In the last 2 meetings Alanyaspor won 1 and Kocaelispor won 1.

What is the best bet for Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Alanyaspor against Kocaelispor. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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