Predictions › Spain › Albacete vs Córdoba

LaLiga 2Fri 18 Sept, 18:30 Spain time

Albacete vs Córdoba prediction

Carlos Belmonte

AlbaceteHome

1.52 : 1.39

expected goals

CórdobaAway

40%Albacete

26%Draw

34%Córdoba

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Albacete vs Córdoba is Albacete to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction: Albacete to win
Chance: 40%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Albacete 1.5, Córdoba 1.4
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score: 59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

82% chanceFair price 1.222 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

12% chanceFair price 8.181 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Albacete 40%, the draw 26% and Córdoba 34%. The bookmakers agree and make Albacete the favourite at 2.30.
2
Recent form
Albacete took 1 point from their last 5 games and Córdoba took 3 from 5. Córdoba come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Albacete won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Córdoba won 3 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Albacete score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.3. Córdoba score 1.4 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Albacete games and 13 of Córdoba games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Albacete won 1 and Córdoba won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Córdoba 1, Albacete 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Albaceterecent form-6%
Córdobarecent form-4%
Albaceterest between games-5%
Córdobarest between games-5%

Albacete form D L L L LCórdoba form L L L W LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Albacete vs Córdoba: Albacete shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Albacete host Córdoba in the LaLiga 2 on Fri 18 Sept, 18:30 at Carlos Belmonte. Our prediction for Albacete vs Córdoba is Albacete to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Albacete form

Albacete have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Córdoba form

Córdoba have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Albacete won 1, Córdoba won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Córdoba 1, Albacete 2.

Our call

We expect Albacete to score about 1.5 goals and Córdoba about 1.4. That points to Albacete to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 8.18.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Albacete	Córdoba
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	7
Draws	5	2
Losses	8	11
Goals scored	27	27
Goals conceded	25	40
Scored per game	1.4	1.4
Conceded per game	1.3	2.0
Home record	4W 2D 4L	4W 2D 5L
Away record	3W 3D 4L	3W 0D 6L
Clean sheets	15%	10%
Both teams scored	65%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Albacete to win	36%	2.74	2.30	-16.1%
A Draw	25%	4.04	3.50	-13.5%
Córdoba to win	32%	3.13	2.80	-10.6%
Over 2.5 goals	54%	1.87	1.71	-8.1%
Under 2.5 goals	44%	2.28	1.95	-14.3%
Albacete -0.5	38%	2.63	2.15	-18.2%
Córdoba +0.5	59%	1.68	1.56	-7.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	79%	1.26
Over 2.5 goals	56%	1.80
Over 3.5 goals	33%	3.02
Both teams to score	59%	1.69
Albacete or Draw	66%	1.52
Córdoba or Draw	60%	1.66
Albacete to win and Over 2.5	26%	3.86
Córdoba to win and Over 2.5	22%	4.56
Albacete clean sheet	25%	4.01
Córdoba clean sheet	22%	4.55

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.2%

2-18.7%

1-28.0%

1-07.6%

0-16.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Albacete vs Córdoba?

Our prediction for Albacete vs Córdoba is Albacete to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Albacete vs Córdoba?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Albacete to score 1.5 goals and Córdoba 1.4.

Will both teams score in Albacete vs Córdoba?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Albacete last 20 games and 13 of Córdoba last 20.

How are Albacete playing?

How are Córdoba playing?

What happened when Albacete and Córdoba last met?

It ended Córdoba 1, Albacete 2. In the last 2 meetings Albacete won 1 and Córdoba won 1.

What is the best bet for Albacete vs Córdoba?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Albacete against Córdoba. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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