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Predictions › Spain › Albacete vs RC Celta Fortuna
LaLiga 2Mon 16 Nov, 19:30 Spain time

Albacete vs RC Celta Fortuna prediction

Carlos Belmonte

AlbaceteHome
1.73 : 1.27
expected goals
RC Celta FortunaAway
48%Albacete
25%Draw
27%Celta Fortuna
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Albacete vs RC Celta Fortuna is Albacete to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
Albacete to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Albacete 1.7, RC Celta Fortuna 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Albacete to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 3.131 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Albacete 48%, the draw 25% and RC Celta Fortuna 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Albacete took 6 points from their last 5 games and RC Celta Fortuna took 5 from 5. Albacete come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Albacete won 5 of their last 10 games at home. RC Celta Fortuna won 1 of their last 5 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Albacete score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. RC Celta Fortuna score 1.5 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Albacete games and 7 of RC Celta Fortuna games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Albaceterecent form-1%
  • Celta Fortunarecent form-1%
Albacete form W W L L LCelta Fortuna form D L D W LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Albacete vs RC Celta Fortuna: Albacete are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Albacete host RC Celta Fortuna in the LaLiga 2 on Mon 16 Nov, 19:30 at Carlos Belmonte. Our prediction for Albacete vs RC Celta Fortuna is Albacete to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Albacete form

Albacete have 7 wins, 1 draw and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

RC Celta Fortuna form

RC Celta Fortuna have 3 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 12 games, with 18 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Albacete to score about 1.7 goals and RC Celta Fortuna about 1.3. That points to Albacete to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Albacete to win and Over 2.5 at 3.13.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AlbaceteCelta Fortuna
Games played2012
Wins73
Draws14
Losses125
Goals scored2318
Goals conceded3323
Scored per game1.11.5
Conceded per game1.61.9
Home record5W 0D 5L2W 3D 2L
Away record2W 1D 7L1W 1D 3L
Clean sheets10%17%
Both teams scored60%67%
Over 2.5 goals65%58%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.74
Over 3.5 goals35%2.84
Both teams to score60%1.67
Albacete or Draw73%1.38
RC Celta Fortuna or Draw52%1.91
Albacete to win and Over 2.532%3.11
RC Celta Fortuna to win and Over 2.518%5.62
Albacete clean sheet28%3.55
RC Celta Fortuna clean sheet18%5.64

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.6%
2-19.5%
1-08.0%
2-07.5%
1-26.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Albacete vs RC Celta Fortuna?

Our prediction for Albacete vs RC Celta Fortuna is Albacete to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Albacete vs RC Celta Fortuna?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Albacete to score 1.7 goals and RC Celta Fortuna 1.3.

Will both teams score in Albacete vs RC Celta Fortuna?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Albacete last 20 games and 8 of RC Celta Fortuna last 12.

How are Albacete playing?

Albacete have 7 wins, 1 draw and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are RC Celta Fortuna playing?

RC Celta Fortuna have 3 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 12 games, with 18 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Albacete vs RC Celta Fortuna?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Albacete against Celta Fortuna. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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