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Predictions › Uruguay › Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera DivisionSat 3 Oct, 18:00 Uruguay time

Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting prediction

Albion FCHome
1.26 : 1.29
expected goals
Defensor SportingAway
35%Albion
28%Draw
37%Defensor
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting is Defensor Sporting to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Defensor Sporting to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Albion FC 1.3, Defensor Sporting 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.441 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Albion FC 35%, the draw 28% and Defensor Sporting 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Albion FC took 0 points from their last 5 games and Defensor Sporting took 7 from 5. Defensor Sporting come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Albion FC won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Defensor Sporting won 0 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Albion FC score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.4. Defensor Sporting score 0.9 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Albion FC games and 7 of Defensor Sporting games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Albion FC won 0 and Defensor Sporting won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Defensor Sporting 1, Albion FC 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Albionrecent form-7%
  • Defensorrest between games-5%
Albion form L L L L LDefensor form W L W D LHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting: Defensor Sporting shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Albion FC host Defensor Sporting in the Uruguayan Primera Division on Sat 3 Oct, 18:00. Our prediction for Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting is Defensor Sporting to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Albion FC form

Albion FC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Defensor Sporting form

Defensor Sporting have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Albion FC won 0, Defensor Sporting won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Defensor Sporting 1, Albion FC 1.

Our call

We expect Albion FC to score about 1.3 goals and Defensor Sporting about 1.3. That points to Defensor Sporting to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.44.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AlbionDefensor
Games played2020
Wins65
Draws47
Losses108
Goals scored2619
Goals conceded2826
Scored per game1.30.9
Conceded per game1.41.3
Home record2W 3D 5L5W 1D 6L
Away record4W 1D 5L0W 6D 2L
Clean sheets15%25%
Both teams scored60%60%
Over 2.5 goals55%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%2.13
Over 3.5 goals25%3.94
Both teams to score53%1.90
Albion FC or Draw63%1.58
Defensor Sporting or Draw65%1.54
Albion FC to win and Over 2.520%5.03
Defensor Sporting to win and Over 2.521%4.79
Albion FC clean sheet27%3.64
Defensor Sporting clean sheet28%3.52

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.4%
0-19.3%
1-09.0%
0-08.6%
1-28.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting?

Our prediction for Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting is Defensor Sporting to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-0. We expect Albion FC to score 1.3 goals and Defensor Sporting 1.3.

Will both teams score in Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Albion FC last 20 games and 12 of Defensor Sporting last 20.

How are Albion FC playing?

Albion FC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Defensor Sporting playing?

Defensor Sporting have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Albion FC and Defensor Sporting last met?

It ended Defensor Sporting 1, Albion FC 1. In the last 1 meeting Albion FC won 0 and Defensor Sporting won 0.

What is the best bet for Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Albion against Defensor. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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