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Predictions › Uruguay › Albion FC vs Deportivo Maldonado
Uruguayan Primera DivisionSun 1 Nov, 23:00 Uruguay time

Albion FC vs Deportivo Maldonado prediction

Estadio Luis Franzini

Albion FCHome
1.49 : 1.84
expected goals
Deportivo MaldonadoAway
31%Albion
24%Draw
45%Maldonado
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Albion FC vs Deportivo Maldonado is Deportivo Maldonado to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Deportivo Maldonado to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Albion FC 1.5, Deportivo Maldonado 1.8
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Deportivo Maldonado to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 3.091 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Albion FC 31%, the draw 24% and Deportivo Maldonado 45%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Albion FC took 9 points from their last 5 games and Deportivo Maldonado took 10 from 5. Deportivo Maldonado come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Albion FC won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Deportivo Maldonado won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Albion FC score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Deportivo Maldonado score 1.6 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Albion FC games and 7 of Deportivo Maldonado games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Albion FC won 1 and Deportivo Maldonado won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Deportivo Maldonado 1, Albion FC 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Maldonadorecent form+4%
Albion form D W W L LMaldonado form D D W W WHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Albion FC vs Deportivo Maldonado: Deportivo Maldonado are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Albion FC host Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguayan Primera Division on Sun 1 Nov, 23:00 at Estadio Luis Franzini. Our prediction for Albion FC vs Deportivo Maldonado is Deportivo Maldonado to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Albion FC form

Albion FC have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Deportivo Maldonado form

Deportivo Maldonado have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Albion FC won 1, Deportivo Maldonado won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Deportivo Maldonado 1, Albion FC 1.

Our call

We expect Albion FC to score about 1.5 goals and Deportivo Maldonado about 1.8. That points to Deportivo Maldonado to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Deportivo Maldonado to win and Over 2.5 at 3.09.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AlbionMaldonado
Games played2020
Wins610
Draws36
Losses114
Goals scored2231
Goals conceded2916
Scored per game1.11.6
Conceded per game1.40.8
Home record3W 2D 5L6W 5D 0L
Away record3W 1D 6L4W 1D 4L
Clean sheets15%45%
Both teams scored60%40%
Over 2.5 goals55%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1.18
Over 2.5 goals65%1.55
Over 3.5 goals43%2.35
Both teams to score66%1.52
Albion FC or Draw55%1.83
Deportivo Maldonado or Draw69%1.44
Albion FC to win and Over 2.522%4.54
Deportivo Maldonado to win and Over 2.533%3.00
Albion FC clean sheet16%6.29
Deportivo Maldonado clean sheet23%4.42

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.4%
1-29.0%
2-17.3%
2-26.7%
0-26.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Albion FC vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Our prediction for Albion FC vs Deportivo Maldonado is Deportivo Maldonado to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Albion FC vs Deportivo Maldonado?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Albion FC to score 1.5 goals and Deportivo Maldonado 1.8.

Will both teams score in Albion FC vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Albion FC last 20 games and 8 of Deportivo Maldonado last 20.

How are Albion FC playing?

Albion FC have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Deportivo Maldonado playing?

Deportivo Maldonado have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Albion FC and Deportivo Maldonado last met?

It ended Deportivo Maldonado 1, Albion FC 1. In the last 2 meetings Albion FC won 1 and Deportivo Maldonado won 0.

What is the best bet for Albion FC vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Albion against Maldonado. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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