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Predictions › Argentina › Aldosivi vs Belgrano (Córdoba)
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSun 25 Oct, 17:45 Argentina time

Aldosivi vs Belgrano (Córdoba) prediction

José María Minella

AldosiviHome
0.67 : 1.19
expected goals
Belgrano (Córdoba)Away
20%Aldosivi
32%Draw
48%Belgrano
Eagle safe pickBelgrano (Córdoba) or Draw
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Aldosivi vs Belgrano (Córdoba) is Belgrano (Córdoba) to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Belgrano (Córdoba) or Draw at 1.27.

Prediction
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Aldosivi 0.7, Belgrano (Córdoba) 1.2
Best bet
Belgrano (Córdoba) or Draw at 1.27
Both teams to score
35%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Belgrano (Córdoba) or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-1
18% chanceFair price 5.601 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Aldosivi 20%, the draw 32% and Belgrano (Córdoba) 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Aldosivi took 6 points from their last 5 games and Belgrano (Córdoba) took 11 from 5. Belgrano (Córdoba) come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Aldosivi won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Belgrano (Córdoba) won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Aldosivi score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.5. Belgrano (Córdoba) score 1.3 and let in 0.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Aldosivi games and 5 of Belgrano (Córdoba) games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Aldosivi won 0 and Belgrano (Córdoba) won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Belgrano (Córdoba) 1, Aldosivi 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Belgrano (Córdoba) or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Belgrano recent form+3%
Aldosivi form D L W L WBelgrano form D W W D DHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Aldosivi vs Belgrano (Córdoba): Belgrano (Córdoba) are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Aldosivi host Belgrano (Córdoba) in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sun 25 Oct, 17:45 at José María Minella. Our prediction for Aldosivi vs Belgrano (Córdoba) is Belgrano (Córdoba) to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Belgrano (Córdoba) or Draw at 1.27.

Aldosivi form

Aldosivi have 2 wins, 6 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Belgrano (Córdoba) form

Belgrano (Córdoba) have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 11 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Aldosivi won 0, Belgrano (Córdoba) won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Belgrano (Córdoba) 1, Aldosivi 0.

Our call

We expect Aldosivi to score about 0.7 goals and Belgrano (Córdoba) about 1.2. That points to Belgrano (Córdoba) to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Belgrano (Córdoba) or Draw at 1.27. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-1 at 5.60.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AldosiviBelgrano
Games played2020
Wins211
Draws66
Losses123
Goals scored1626
Goals conceded3011
Scored per game0.81.3
Conceded per game1.50.6
Home record2W 5D 4L6W 1D 3L
Away record0W 1D 8L5W 5D 0L
Clean sheets20%55%
Both teams scored55%35%
Over 2.5 goals40%25%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals56%1.78
Over 2.5 goals28%3.52
Over 3.5 goals12%8.51
Both teams to score35%2.89
Aldosivi or Draw52%1.92
Belgrano (Córdoba) or Draw80%1.25
Aldosivi to win and Over 2.57%14.65
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win and Over 2.519%5.30
Aldosivi clean sheet30%3.28
Belgrano (Córdoba) clean sheet51%1.95

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-117.9%
0-016.4%
1-113.1%
0-211.1%
1-09.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Aldosivi vs Belgrano (Córdoba)?

Our prediction for Aldosivi vs Belgrano (Córdoba) is Belgrano (Córdoba) to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Belgrano (Córdoba) or Draw at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Aldosivi vs Belgrano (Córdoba)?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect Aldosivi to score 0.7 goals and Belgrano (Córdoba) 1.2.

Will both teams score in Aldosivi vs Belgrano (Córdoba)?

Both teams to score has a 35% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Aldosivi last 20 games and 7 of Belgrano (Córdoba) last 20.

How are Aldosivi playing?

Aldosivi have 2 wins, 6 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Belgrano (Córdoba) playing?

Belgrano (Córdoba) have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 11 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Aldosivi and Belgrano (Córdoba) last met?

It ended Belgrano (Córdoba) 1, Aldosivi 0. In the last 1 meeting Aldosivi won 0 and Belgrano (Córdoba) won 1.

What is the best bet for Aldosivi vs Belgrano (Córdoba)?

Belgrano (Córdoba) or Draw at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Aldosivi against Belgrano . A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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